Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
16 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
10 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
20 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–3 L
05 Jul Tokyo Verdy H 0–0 D
28 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 4–3 W
16 Aug Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
09 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–5 L
20 Jul Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
05 Jul Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W
29 Jun Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kawasaki Frontale
#3 Position #14
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 38
44 Conceded 40
+2 GD -2
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kawasaki Frontale are 14th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/2
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Nagoya Grampus gets underway.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 7' Tatsuya Ito makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Kawasaki Frontale are in front.
  • 12' The whistle greets Yuichi Maruyama as he departs to be replaced by Ryota Kamihashi.
  • 17' Erison has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 27' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 32' Soichiro Mori doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' Kawasaki Frontale come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 42' The 24-year-old Ryota Kamihashi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Erison. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Haruya Fujii makes way for Yuki Nogami at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
  • 48' Goal! Teruki Hara scores his 6 goal in 279 matches.
  • 51' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kasper Junker on 51 minutes.
  • 56' Soma Kanda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kawasaki Frontale tonight.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kawasaki Frontale needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' Shuhei Tokumoto gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Katsuhiro Nakayama and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 78' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 78 minute. Yudai Kimura leaves to be changed by Kensuke Nagai.
  • 80' GOAL! Erison scores on 80. Assisted by Ryota Kamihashi
  • 81' Ryuji Izumi does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
  • 85' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Yuya Yamagishi on 85 minute.
  • 87' Yuki Nogami has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
  • 88' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 89' So Kawahara picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Tatsuya Ito is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Kawasaki Frontale take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.39 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus40% Draw23% Kawasaki Frontale37%
Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
63%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
60%
Nagoya Grampus or Kawasaki Frontale
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus34% Draw35% Kawasaki Frontale31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 17% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12%
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.