Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NAC Breda vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
4 – 1
Full Time
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 18:00 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,644 HT 45' · FT 45'
Clint Leemans 13' 1–0
Clint Leemans 37' 2–0
2–1 45+2' Fredrik Jensen og
Leo Sauer pen 60' 3–1
Leo Greiml 90' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs RKC Waalwijk — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
  • Assistant 1 Patrick Inia
  • Assistant 2 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 18.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
NAC Breda 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals RKC Waalwijk

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
20 Oct PEC Zwolle A 2–1 W
05 Oct NEC H 1–0 W
29 Sep FC Twente '65 A 0–1 L
22 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–2 L
14 Sep Fortuna Sittard H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct NAC Breda A 1–4 L
19 Oct FC Twente '65 H 2–2 D
05 Oct FC Utrecht A 2–3 L
29 Sep AFC Ajax H 0–2 L
21 Sep Sparta Rotterdam H 1–2 L
15 Sep Willem II Tilburg A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between NAC Breda and RKC Waalwijk is underway.
  • 5' NAC Breda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Raul Paula, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 11' Godfried Roemeratoe was booked on 11.
  • 13' Clint Leemans puts NAC Breda on the lead.
  • 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 29' A moment of madness from Jan Van den Bergh on 29 minutes earns him a card. NAC Breda will be frustrated.
  • 34' The 31-year-old Dario Van den Buijs has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' Clint Leemans doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 40' That is a card for NAC Breda. Leo Greiml will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Henk Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Another change for RKC Waalwijk made on 46 minute. Julian Lelieveld leaves to be changed by Faissal Al Mazyani.
  • 47' GOAL! Fredrik Jensen scores on 45.
  • 50' Juan Familia-Castillo was booked on 50.
  • 55' NAC Breda are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RKC Waalwijk backline.
  • 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Faissal Al Mazyani on 58 minutes.
  • 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leo Sauer makes no mistake. 4-0!
  • 61' Fresh legs for RKC Waalwijk! Yassin Oukili comes on to replace Godfried Roemeratoe.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Faissal Al Mazyani.
  • 67' Another change for NAC Breda made on 67 minute. Elias Mar Omarsson leaves to be changed by Kacper Kostorz.
  • 69' Another substitution for RKC Waalwijk to replace Silvester van der Water by Dario Van den Buijs on 69 minute.
  • 74' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His NAC Breda side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 77' A change in the NAC Breda ranks — Raul Paula exits the field as Adam Kaied enters on 77.
  • 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 87' The NAC Breda manager makes a substitution. Boy Kemper departs to be replaced by Manel Royo.
  • 90' Magnificent from Leo Greiml! That is 3 goals in 30 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.38 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda66% Draw20% RKC Waalwijk14%
Actual: NAC Breda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
86%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
34%
NAC Breda or RKC Waalwijk
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda49% Draw38% RKC Waalwijk13%
Actual: NAC Breda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push RKC Waalwijk covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 22% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.