Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sat 27 Oct 2018 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Hicham Zakrani
  • Referee Karim Abed
  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Referee Bartolomeu Varela
  • Referee Mikael Berchebru

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Montpellier HSC H 0–3 L
20 Oct FC Nantes A 0–4 L
05 Oct OGC Nice H 1–1 D
30 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–1 D
25 Sep AS Saint-Étienne H 2–3 L
22 Sep Angers SCO A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Toulouse FC A 3–0 W
21 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 2–0 W
06 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
30 Sep Nimes Olympique H 3–0 W
26 Sep SM Caen A 2–2 D
22 Sep OGC Nice H 1–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Toulouse FC are looking to make home advantage count against Montpellier HSC.
  • 1' The referee calls foul for Andy Delort. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 6' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 6 minutes.
  • 11' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' The deadlock is broken! Gaetan Laborde gets on the scoresheet on 21 minutes.
  • 22' That is a Yellow card for Toulouse FC. Jimmy Durmaz will be fuming at that decision.
  • 24' Andy Delort doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 29' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' Toulouse FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' The travelling Montpellier HSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Christopher Jullien is replaced by Corentin Jean on 46 minute.
  • 51' Ellyes Skhiri has been relatively quiet despite scoring 28 goals in his last 417 appearances.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michel Der Zakarian will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Jimmy Durmaz is replaced by Yannick Cahuzac on 66 minute.
  • 71' It looks surprising Toulouse FC does not make any changes. Pedro Mendes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 75' Junior Sambia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gaetan Laborde on 75 minute.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Baptiste Reynet made 420 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 83 minute. Andy Delort leaves to be changed by Petar Skuletic.
  • 88' Montpellier HSC make a change. Florent Mollet trudges off to be replaced by Paul Lasne on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Baptiste Reynet makes it 1-2.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Corentin Jean on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toulouse FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC28% Draw28% Montpellier HSC44%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
72%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC21% Draw46% Montpellier HSC33%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.