Saturday , 14 November 2026

Montpellier HSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sun 27 Jan 2019 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry
  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Referee Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Referee Alexandre Viala
  • Referee
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Montpellier HSC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals SM Caen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan SM Caen H 2–0 W
20 Jan Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–0 D
13 Jan Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–1 D
08 Jan FC Nantes A 0–2 L
22 Dec Olympique Lyonnais H 1–1 D
04 Dec Lille OSC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Montpellier HSC A 0–2 L
20 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
11 Jan Lille OSC H 1–3 L
22 Dec Stade de Reims A 2–2 D
18 Dec Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
09 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stade de la Mosson as Montpellier HSC face off against SM Caen in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michel Der Zakarian might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Montpellier HSC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Paul Baysse has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Casimir Ninga gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 51' What composure from Gaetan Laborde! The France international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Montpellier HSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' What composure from Paul Baysse! The France international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 64' It is a cagey affair so far. Montpellier HSC in their trying to find a way past SM Caen's compact .
  • 66' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Junior Sambia comes on to replace Damien Le Tallec.
  • 71' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 72' Adama Mbengue gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Yoel Armougom and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 80' Another change for SM Caen made on 80 minute. Casimir Ninga leaves to be changed by Malik Tchokounte.
  • 84' It’s a booking for Montpellier HSC player. Junior Sambia gets a Yellow card.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Gaetan Laborde is replaced by Petar Skuletic on 88 minute.
  • 90' Florent Mollet makes way for Mihajlo Ristic at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Montpellier HSC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC52% Draw26% SM Caen22%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
78%
Draw or SM Caen
48%
Montpellier HSC or SM Caen
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC35% Draw48% SM Caen17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.