Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Montpellier HSC
2 – 0
Full Time
SM Caen
Sun 27 Jan 2019 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 41' Casimir Ninga
Junior Sambia 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry
  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Referee Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Referee Alexandre Viala
  • Referee

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Nantes 34 24
2 FC Metz 34 17
3 Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 0
4 Racing Club de Lens 0 0
5 Lille OSC 0 0
6 Olympique Lyonnais 0 0
7 Olympique de Marseille 0 0
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 0
9 AS Monaco FC 0 0
10 RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 0
11 Toulouse FC 0 0
12 FC Lorient 0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0
14 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
15 ES Troyes AC 0 0
16 Angers SCO 0 0
17 Le Mans FC 0 0
18 Le Havre AC 0 0
19 AJ Auxerre 0 0
20 OGC Nice 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Montpellier HSC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals SM Caen
Last 5 meetings
2019-01-27 Montpellier HSC 2–0 SM Caen 2018-09-26 SM Caen 2–2 Montpellier HSC

Recent Form

Montpellier HSC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan SM Caen H 2–0 W
20 Jan Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–0 D
13 Jan Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–1 D
08 Jan FC Nantes A 0–2 L
22 Dec Olympique Lyonnais H 1–1 D
04 Dec Lille OSC H 0–1 L
SM Caen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Montpellier HSC A 0–2 L
20 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
11 Jan Lille OSC H 1–3 L
22 Dec Stade de Reims A 2–2 D
18 Dec Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
09 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Montpellier HSC and SM Caen is underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Paul Baysse suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Casimir Ninga made 399 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Montpellier HSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Montpellier HSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Montpellier HSC that had 417 games and scored 379 goals.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' SM Caen player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' Gaetan Laborde has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 51' What a strike from Gaetan Laborde! The score is 1-0.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' What a strike from Paul Baysse! The score is 1-1.
  • 64' Ismael Diomande needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 66' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 66 minute. Damien Le Tallec leaves to be changed by Junior Sambia.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Adama Mbengue. He replaces Yoel Armougom on 72 minute.
  • 77' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 80' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Casimir Ninga is replaced by Malik Tchokounte.
  • 84' Junior Sambia is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Gaetan Laborde is replaced by Petar Skuletic on 88 minute.
  • 90' Mihajlo Ristic is replacing Florent Mollet for the Montpellier HSC side.
  • Another three points for Montpellier HSC.

Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michel Der Zakarian

SM Caen Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Fabien Mercadal

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Andy Delort 1
Damien Le Tallec 1
Saif-Eddine Khaoui 1
Yacine Bammou 1
Saif-Eddine Khaoui 1
Yacine Bammou 1
Gaetan Laborde 1
Paul Baysse 1

Head to Head

2019-01-27 Montpellier HSC 2–0 SM Caen 2018-09-26 SM Caen 2–2 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier HSC Form

2019-01-27 Montpellier HSC 2–0 SM Caen W 2019-01-20 Stade Rennais FC 1901 0–0 Montpellier HSC D 2019-01-13 Dijon Football Cote d'Or 1–1 Montpellier HSC D 2019-01-08 FC Nantes 2–0 Montpellier HSC L 2018-12-22 Montpellier HSC 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais D 2018-12-04 Montpellier HSC 0–1 Lille OSC L

SM Caen Form

2019-01-27 Montpellier HSC 2–0 SM Caen L 2019-01-20 SM Caen 0–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2019-01-11 SM Caen 1–3 Lille OSC L 2018-12-22 Stade de Reims 2–2 SM Caen D 2018-12-18 SM Caen 2–1 Toulouse FC W 2018-12-09 RC Strasbourg Alsace 2–2 SM Caen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC52% Draw26% SM Caen22%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
78%
Draw or SM Caen
48%
Montpellier HSC or SM Caen
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC35% Draw48% SM Caen17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.