Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Montpellier HSC vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sun 27 Jan 2019 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry
  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Referee Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Referee Alexandre Viala
  • Referee
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 7.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Montpellier HSC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals SM Caen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan SM Caen H 2–0 W
20 Jan Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–0 D
13 Jan Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–1 D
08 Jan FC Nantes A 0–2 L
22 Dec Olympique Lyonnais H 1–1 D
04 Dec Lille OSC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Montpellier HSC A 0–2 L
20 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
11 Jan Lille OSC H 1–3 L
22 Dec Stade de Reims A 2–2 D
18 Dec Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
09 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stade de la Mosson. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Montpellier HSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Faycal Fajr is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
  • 25' Andy Delort has been relatively quiet despite scoring 70 goals in his last 424 appearances.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ismael Diomande, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de la Mosson with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier HSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 41' SM Caen player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 51' What a strike from Gaetan Laborde! The score is 1-0.
  • 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Montpellier HSC and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' Paul Baysse has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Damien Le Tallec is replaced by Junior Sambia on 66 minute.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' Yoel Armougom makes way for Adama Mbengue at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • 77' Casimir Ninga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 80' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Malik Tchokounte on, Casimir Ninga off on 80 minutes.
  • 84' That is a Yellow card for Montpellier HSC. Junior Sambia will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Gaetan Laborde as he leaves the pitch. Petar Skuletic steps in for Montpellier HSC.
  • 90' The Montpellier HSC manager makes a substitution. Florent Mollet departs to be replaced by Mihajlo Ristic.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SM Caen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC52% Draw26% SM Caen22%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
78%
Draw or SM Caen
48%
Montpellier HSC or SM Caen
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC35% Draw48% SM Caen17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.