SM Caen vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Leonard
- Referee Frederic Hebrard
- Referee Gilles Lang
- Referee Cedric Dos Santos
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nantes | 34 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Metz | 34 | 17 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Racing Club de Lens | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lille OSC | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Olympique de Marseille | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Monaco FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Toulouse FC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | ES Troyes AC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Mans FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | AJ Auxerre | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | OGC Nice | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Lille OSC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | Stade de Reims | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Dec | Toulouse FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Dec | Nimes Olympique | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Angers SCO | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | SM Caen | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Toulouse FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | Nimes Olympique | A | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Dec | Stade de Reims | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Dec | Montpellier HSC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stade Michel d'Ornano that hosts another battle between SM Caen and Lille OSC.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 8' What a strike from Nicolas Pepe! The score is 0-1.
- 13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Faycal Fajr made 399 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' The referee has no hesitation. Adama Soumaoro is booked for Lille OSC — Yellow card on 15.
- 20' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
- 21' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Enzo Crivelli on 21 minutes.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' Lille OSC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 36' Frederic Guilbert is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
- 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 42' The referee shows SM Caen player a Yellow card on 42.
- 44' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Frederic Guilbert will be fuming at that decision.
- 49' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 59' Youssouf Kone has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 65' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yacine Bammou is hanging Claudio Beauvue on the field on 65 minute.
- 70' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 75' A quiet spell here at Stade Michel d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 76' The whistle greets Thiago Mendes as he departs to be replaced by Boubakary Soumare.
- 78' SM Caen ring the changes. Saif-Eddine Khaoui has done his job and it is now time for Christian Kouakou to step up.
- 81' A tactical swap from Lille OSC — Luiz Araujo on, Jonathan Ikone off on 81 minutes.
- 82' Zeki Celik catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 82.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zeki Celik on 84.
- 88' Lille OSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Pied is hanging Rafael Leao on the field on 88 minute.
- 89' SM Caen make a change. Ismael Diomande trudges off to be replaced by Malik Tchokounte on 89 minutes.
- 90' Brilliant from the ! Luiz Araujo makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Lille OSC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 10
- 30
- 24
- 21
- 3
- 4
- 27
- 11
- 2
-
12
Claudio Beauvue ↓ Yacine Bammou 65'
Bench
- 14
-
19
Malik Tchokounte ↑ 89'
-
18
Yacine Bammou ↑ 65'
- 5
- 22
-
13
Christian Kouakou ↑ 78'
- 1
Coach
Fabien Mercadal
Lille OSC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 6
-
12
Jonathan Ikone ↓ Luiz Araujo 81'
- 16
- 5
- 23
- 20
- 19
- 14
-
7
Rafael Leao ↓ Jeremy Pied 88'
- 17
Bench
- 9
-
26
Jeremy Pied ↑ 88'
- 1
- 15
- 22
-
24
Boubakary Soumare ↑ 76'
-
11
Luiz Araujo ↑ 81'
Coach
Christophe Galtier
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Nicolas Pepe | 1 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
| Casimir Ninga | 1 |
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
Lille OSC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lille OSC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
54%
Draw or Lille OSC
73%
SM Caen or Lille OSC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Lille OSC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Lille OSC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

