Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AS Saint-Étienne H 0–2 L
27 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–0 W
23 Sep US Boulogne Côte d'Opale H 1–3 L
20 Sep SC Bastia H 2–0 W
15 Sep En Avant Guingamp A 0–1 L
29 Aug Amiens SC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Montpellier HSC A 2–0 W
27 Sep En Avant Guingamp H 2–3 L
23 Sep Amiens SC A 1–0 W
20 Sep Stade de Reims H 3–2 W
13 Sep Clermont Foot 63 A 2–1 W
30 Aug Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Montpellier HSC AS Saint-Étienne
#5 Position #1
4 Points 6
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 0
2 Scored 6
1 Conceded 1
+1 GD +5
2.00 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

37% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Montpellier HSC this season
50% Clean Sheets
AS Saint-Étienne this season

Montpellier HSC are 5th (4 pts). AS Saint-Étienne are 1st (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Saint-Étienne
0-15
/
16-30
3/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

AS Saint-Étienne Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.61 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 AS Saint-Étienne xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC18% Draw28% AS Saint-Étienne54%
Actual: AS Saint-Étienne win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
46%
Draw or AS Saint-Étienne
82%
Montpellier HSC or AS Saint-Étienne
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC11% Draw51% AS Saint-Étienne38%
Actual: AS Saint-Étienne win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
17%
0 – 0
13.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 0
6%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 1
3.2%
0 – 4
2.6%
2 – 2
2.6%
2 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push AS Saint-Étienne covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 10% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 27% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 18% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
22%
AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.