Molde FK vs PAE Aris, Europe 2019-20 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Referee Matteo Passeri
- Referee Giampaolo Calvarese
- Referee Valentino Fiorito
5 games this season
🟨 4.6/game
⚽ 12.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompie | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | PAE Aris | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | FK Cukaricki | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | FK Cukaricki | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jul | KR Reykjavik | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jul | KR Reykjavik | H | 7–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | Molde FK | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Aug | AE Lemesos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | AE Lemesos | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Molde FK and PAE Aris.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Molde FK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Fran Velez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 5 appearances.
- 20' Kristoffer Haraldseid has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Alexandro Craninx needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 27' Magnus Wolff Eikrem is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 32' The deadlock is broken! Eirik Hestad gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
- 32' That is a Yellow card for Molde FK. Etzaz Hussain will be fuming at that decision.
- 37' It looks surprising PAE Aris does not make any changes. Nicolas Diguiny has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' Molde FK is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 47' The home supporters are growing impatient. Molde FK must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 52' It looks like no one’s ball. PAE Aris is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lindsay Rose is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PAE Aris.
- 62' It is a cagey affair so far. Molde FK in their trying to find a way past PAE Aris's compact .
- 64' The referee has no hesitation. Fran Velez is booked for PAE Aris — Red card on 64.
- 69' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Georgios Delizisis.
- 69' The PAE Aris manager makes a substitution. Migjen Basha departs to be replaced by Georgios Delizisis.
- 74' Another substitution for Molde FK to replace Etzaz Hussain by Martin Ellingsen on 74 minute.
- 79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 81' The PAE Aris manager makes a substitution. Brown Ideye departs to be replaced by Daniel Larsson.
- 85' Erling Knudtzon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ohi Omoijuanfo on 85 minute.
- 87' GOAL! Martin Ellingsen scores on 87.
- 90' Kristoffer Haugen picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Molde FK make a change. Eirik Hestad trudges off to be replaced by Mattias Mostrom on 90 minutes.
- Molde FK celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Molde FK Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 7
- 4
-
19
Eirik Hestad ↓ Mattias Mostrom 90'
- 28
- 10
- 17
- 12
- 2
- 18
- 99
Bench
- 5
-
9
Mattias Mostrom ↑ 90'
- 26
-
11
Martin Ellingsen ↑ 74'
-
14
Erling Knudtzon ↑ 85'
- 8
- 30
Coach
Erling Moe
PAE Aris Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 69
- 44
- 92
- 21
- 7
- 88
- 19
- 26
- 6
-
11
Brown Ideye ↓ Daniel Larsson 81'
Bench
- 1
- 22
-
5
Georgios Delizisis ↑ 69'
-
28
Giannis Fetfatzidis ↑ 74'
-
10
Daniel Larsson ↑ 81'
- 8
- 18
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Magnus Wolff Eikrem | 1 |
| Eirik Hestad | 1 |
| Martin Ellingsen | 1 |
| Mathis Bolly | 1 |
| Georgios Delizisis | 1 |
| Javier Matilla | 1 |
| Nicolas Diguiny | 1 |
Head to Head
Molde FK Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96
Molde FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
PAE Aris xG
I would bet for:
Molde FK to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Molde FK win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Molde FK or Draw
86%
Draw or PAE Aris
36%
Molde FK or PAE Aris
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Molde FK win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
2 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3%
2 – 2
3%
1 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Molde FK
| Handicap | Molde FK covers | Push | PAE Aris covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Molde FK keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
PAE Aris keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

