Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Hull City AFC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2018-19
Sun 6 Jan 2019 · 14:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Hull City AFC — FA Cup at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Rob Whitton
  • Referee Rob Smith
  • Referee Ian Cooper
  • Referee Graham Kane
  • Referee Andy Woolmer

Head-to-Head

4
6
7
Millwall FC 17 games · Avg 2.1 goals Hull City AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 3–2 W
29 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Reading FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
15 Dec Preston North End FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Millwall FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 6–0 W
29 Dec Leeds United FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC A 2–1 W
22 Dec Swansea City AFC H 3–2 W
15 Dec Brentford FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Millwall FC and Hull City AFC has kicked off!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Jordan Archer is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 20' The travelling Hull City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Elliott made 397 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Jon Toral has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 62' Hull City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 63' The whistle greets Murray Wallace as he departs to be replaced by Shaun Williams.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Shane Ferguson. He replaces Jiri Skalak on 64 minute.
  • 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hull City AFC that had 390 games and scored 441 goals.
  • 75' Another substitution for Hull City AFC to replace Jon Toral by Max Sheaf on 75 minute.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 81 minute. Nouha Dicko leaves to be changed by Keane Lewis-Potter.
  • 82' Shane Ferguson does the damage! The net is bulging and Millwall FC surge ahead!
  • 84' Poor challenge from Ondrej Mazuch. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 85' Brilliant from the ! Shane Ferguson makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 85.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for Hull City AFC. Daniel Batty will be fuming at that decision.
  • Another three points for Millwall FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC45% Draw27% Hull City AFC28%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Hull City AFC
55%
Millwall FC or Hull City AFC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC31% Draw48% Hull City AFC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.