Brazil vs Mexico, Worldcup 2018 ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Gianluca Rocchi
- Referee Elenito Di Liberatore
- Referee Mauro Tonolini
- Referee Massimiliano Irrati
- Referee Antonio Mateu
- Referee Pau Cebrian
- Referee Carlos Astroza
- Referee Pawel Gil
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Canada | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Qatar | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Brazil | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Morocco | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Scotland | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Haiti | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | United States | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Australia | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Paraguay | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Turkey | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 6 |
| 19 | Ecuador | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Curacao | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Netherlands | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Japan | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Sweden | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Belgium | 3 | 5 |
| 26 | Egypt | 3 | 5 |
| 27 | Iran | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | New Zealand | 3 | 1 |
| 29 | Spain | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 3 |
| 31 | Uruguay | 3 | 2 |
| 32 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 |
| 33 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 34 | Norway | 3 | 6 |
| 35 | Senegal | 3 | 3 |
| 36 | Iraq | 3 | 0 |
| 37 | Argentina | 3 | 9 |
| 38 | Austria | 3 | 4 |
| 39 | Algeria | 3 | 4 |
| 40 | Jordan | 3 | 0 |
| 41 | Colombia | 3 | 7 |
| 42 | Portugal | 3 | 5 |
| 43 | Congo DR | 3 | 4 |
| 44 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 |
| 45 | England | 3 | 7 |
| 46 | Croatia | 3 | 6 |
| 47 | Ghana | 3 | 4 |
| 48 | Panama | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul | Mexico | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Serbia | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | Costa Rica | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jun | Switzerland | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Brazil | Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 2 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 0 |
| 7 | Scored | 6 |
| 1 | Conceded | 0 |
| +6 | GD | +6 |
| 2.33 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 67% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Brazil this season
Brazil this season
80%
Clean Sheets
Mexico this season
Mexico this season
Brazil are 9th (7 pts). Mexico are 1st (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Brazil
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mexico
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Brazil
| Vinicius Junior | 4 G | 1 A |
| Matheus Cunha | 3 G |
Mexico
| Julian Quinones | 4 G | 1 A |
| Raul Jimenez | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' Brazil are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Mexico backline.
- 15' Gabriel Jesus, a Brazil forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' Brazil are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 38' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Edson Alvarez on 38 minutes.
- 43' It’s a booking for Brazil player. Filipe Luis gets a Yellow card.
- 46' It is a substitution in Mexico team. Rafael Marquez is replaced by Miguel Layun on 46 minute.
- 51' What composure from Neymar! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 55' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hector Herrera on 55 minutes.
- 55' Jonathan dos Santos is replacing Edson Alvarez for the Mexico side.
- 59' A moment of madness from Casemiro on 59 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Brazil will be frustrated.
- 60' Mexico make a change. Javier Hernandez trudges off to be replaced by Raul Jimenez on 60 minutes.
- 65' Jonathan dos Santos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 295 appearances.
- 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 75' It looks surprising Mexico does not make any changes. Filipe Luis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Carlos Salcedo.
- 80' Brazil ring the changes. Paulinho has done his job and it is now time for Fernandinho to step up.
- 85' Jesus Gallardo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 86' Roberto Firmino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philippe Coutinho on 86 minute.
- 88' Roberto Firmino adds to his 0 season tally! Brazil lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 90' The referee shows Mexico player a Yellow card on 90.
- 90' Marquinhos is replacing Willian for the Brazil side.
- With this win, Brazil is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 1
-
19
Willian ↓ Marquinhos 90'
- 9
- 2
- 10
- 6
- 11
- 5
- 3
-
15
Paulinho ↓ Fernandinho 80'
Bench
- 4
- 16
-
20
Roberto Firmino ↑ 86'
- 23
-
17
Fernandinho ↑ 80'
- 14
- 18
-
13
Marquinhos ↑ 90'
- 12
- 21
- 8
Coach
Tite
Mexico Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
14
Javier Hernandez ↓ Raul Jimenez 60'
- 3
- 18
- 16
- 11
- 13
- 2
- 21
- 23
-
4
Rafael Marquez C ↓ Miguel Layun 46'
Bench
- 5
-
9
Raul Jimenez ↑ 60'
- 8
-
7
Miguel Layun ↑ 46'
- 17
-
6
Jonathan dos Santos ↑ 55'
- 10
- 1
- 12
- 19
- 20
Coach
Juan Carlos Osorio
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Neymar | 1 |
| Roberto Firmino | 1 |
| Neymar | 1 |
| Roberto Firmino | 1 |
Head to Head
Brazil Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83
Brazil xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.41
Mexico xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brazil win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 1.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 2.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 3.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
Brazil or Draw
83%
Draw or Mexico
54%
Brazil or Mexico
63%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.7%
1 – 0
22.4%
1 – 1
10.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.1%
1 – 2
2.1%
3 – 1
1.3%
2 – 2
1%
4 – 0
0.5%
Asian Handicap — Brazil
| Handicap | Brazil covers | Push | Mexico covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 11% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 27% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 12% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Brazil keeps clean sheet
66%
✓
Mexico keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.