Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wilson Brown
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Adam Fielding
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | Adelaide United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jan | Perth Glory FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne City FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 38 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 10 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 33 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +0 | GD | +10 |
| 1.46 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 38% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season
Melbourne City FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne City FC
| Max Caputo | 8 G | 1 A |
| Marcus Younis | 7 G | 3 A |
| Medin Memeti | 5 G | 1 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Melbourne City FC to score. At the same time, Adelaide United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Adelaide United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne City FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Melbourne City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Marcin Budzinski does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne City FC surge ahead!
- 35' A goal from the Poland international Marcin Budzinski! He fires home on 35 to make it 2-0!
- 40' The -year-old Daniel Adlung has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Jordan Elsey. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Ben Garuccio. He replaces Jordan O'Doherty on 46 minute.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nikola Mileusnic made 233 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 52' Dean Bouzanis is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 56' Bart Schenkeveld is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
- 59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Isaias.
- 61' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Nikola Mileusnic is withdrawn and George Blackwood gets his opportunity.
- 66' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne City FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 67' Ross McCormack is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Arzani at the 67 minute mark.
- 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 75' The whistle greets Nathaniel Atkinson as he departs to be replaced by Manny Muscat.
- 80' Adelaide United FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Luka Jovanovic scoring 2 goals.
- 82' Another change for Melbourne City FC made on 82 minute. Marcin Budzinski leaves to be changed by Stefan Mauk.
- 84' Taylor Regan is replacing Ersan Adem Gulum for the Adelaide United FC side.
- 89' Dario Vidosic makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Melbourne City FC are in front.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Melbourne City FC take all three points.
Lineups
Melbourne City FC Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
24
Jordan O'Doherty ↓ Ben Garuccio 46'
- 1
- 2
- 23
- 8
- 29
- 17
- 25
-
22
Ersan Adem Gulum ↓ Taylor Regan 84'
- 37
- 12
Bench
- 20
-
5
Taylor Regan ↑ 84'
- 16
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 61'
-
19
Ben Garuccio ↑ 46'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamie MacLaren | 11 |
| Ben Halloran | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 3 |
| Ross McCormack | 3 |
| Dario Vidosic | 2 |
| Marcin Budzinski | 2 |
| Louis D'Arrigo | 2 |
| Nestor Irankunda | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne City FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-01-21
Melbourne City FC
5–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-01-14
Adelaide United FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
2018-01-10
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2018-01-05
Perth Glory FC
0–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-12-30
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2017-12-26
Adelaide United FC
1–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.59
Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne City FC to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Melbourne City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
31%
Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.4%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
4 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC
| Handicap | Melbourne City FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 21% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

