Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Wilson Brown
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Adam Fielding
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | Adelaide United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jan | Perth Glory FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne City FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 38 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 10 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 33 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +0 | GD | +10 |
| 1.46 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 38% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Melbourne City FC to score. At the same time, Adelaide United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Daniel Margush has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The 29-year-old George Blackwood has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Melbourne City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
- 25' Adelaide United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcin Budzinski makes it 1-0.
- 35' What a moment for Marcin Budzinski! That strike on 35 puts his side firmly in control.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' Adelaide United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 46' Adelaide United FC make a change. Jordan O'Doherty trudges off to be replaced by Ben Garuccio on 46 minutes.
- 51' It looks surprising Adelaide United FC does not make any changes. Mark Ochieng has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 52' Dean Bouzanis picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' Bart Schenkeveld is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
- 59' Controversy at the stadium! Isaias argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 61' George Blackwood gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Nikola Mileusnic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 67' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. Daniel Arzani is replaced by Ross McCormack.
- 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' A tactical swap from Melbourne City FC — Manny Muscat on, Nathaniel Atkinson off on 75 minutes.
- 80' Melbourne City FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 82' A tactical swap from Melbourne City FC — Stefan Mauk on, Marcin Budzinski off on 82 minutes.
- 84' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Ersan Adem Gulum departs to be replaced by Taylor Regan.
- 89' The Australia Dario Vidosic breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 3-0!
- Another three points for Melbourne City FC.
Lineups
Melbourne City FC Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
24
Jordan O'Doherty ↓ Ben Garuccio 46'
- 1
- 2
- 23
- 8
- 29
- 17
- 25
-
22
Ersan Adem Gulum ↓ Taylor Regan 84'
- 37
- 12
Bench
- 20
-
5
Taylor Regan ↑ 84'
- 16
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 61'
-
19
Ben Garuccio ↑ 46'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamie MacLaren | 11 |
| Ben Halloran | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 3 |
| Ross McCormack | 3 |
| Dario Vidosic | 2 |
| Marcin Budzinski | 2 |
| Louis D'Arrigo | 2 |
| Nestor Irankunda | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne City FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-01-21
Melbourne City FC
5–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-01-14
Adelaide United FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
2018-01-10
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2018-01-05
Perth Glory FC
0–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-12-30
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2017-12-26
Adelaide United FC
1–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.59
Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne City FC to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Melbourne City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
31%
Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.4%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
4 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC
| Handicap | Melbourne City FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 21% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

