Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Hooper

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–2 L
07 Jan Burnley FC A 2–2 D
04 Jan Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
30 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Manchester United FC A 2–1 W
07 Jan Manchester City FC A 1–1 D
03 Jan Burnley FC H 2–0 W
30 Dec West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
27 Dec Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
20 Dec Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester United FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC36% Draw29% Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
64%
Manchester United FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC28% Draw47% Brighton & Hove Albion FC25%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.