MSV Duisburg vs Wroxham FC, 2016

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1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

MSV Duisburg

3 – 2

Full Time

Wroxham FC

Sun 5 Feb 2017 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs Wroxham FC — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
Wroxham FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 2.10

Draw 3.50

Wroxham FC 3.50

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 8 games · Avg 4.0 goals Wroxham FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-05 MSV Duisburg 3–2 Wroxham FC 2016-09-11 Wroxham FC 1–2 MSV Duisburg 2016-04-09 Wroxham FC 1–2 MSV Duisburg 2015-11-08 MSV Duisburg 1–2 Wroxham FC 2015-02-14 Wroxham FC 3–2 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Wroxham FC	H	3–2	W
28 Jan	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	2–1	W
21 Jan	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	0–2	L
20 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
17 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–0	W
10 Dec	TuS Dassendorf	A	0–1	L

Wroxham FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	MSV Duisburg	A	2–3	L
28 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–2	L
21 Dec	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	1–1	D
17 Dec	Karlsruher SC	H	1–1	D
10 Dec	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Wroxham FC get us underway at .
Wroxham FC will have plenty to reflect on. MSV Duisburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

Wroxham FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2017-02-05 MSV Duisburg 3–2 Wroxham FC W 2017-01-28 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–2 MSV Duisburg W 2017-01-21 MSV Duisburg 0–2 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen L 2016-12-20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D 2016-12-17 MSV Duisburg 1–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-12-10 TuS Dassendorf 1–0 MSV Duisburg L

Wroxham FC Form

2017-02-05 MSV Duisburg 3–2 Wroxham FC L 2017-01-28 Wroxham FC 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2017-01-21 Wroxham FC 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2016-12-21 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1–1 Wroxham FC D 2016-12-17 Wroxham FC 1–1 Karlsruher SC D 2016-12-10 SV Sandhausen 1916 0–1 Wroxham FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.57 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Wroxham FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg47% Draw25% Wroxham FC28%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.94

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

72%

Draw or Wroxham FC

53%

MSV Duisburg or Wroxham FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg30% Draw45% Wroxham FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

7.5%

1 – 0

7.5%

0 – 0

7.1%

2 – 0

6.4%

0 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.5%

1 – 3

3.4%

3 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	Wroxham FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	20%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	17%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Wroxham FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.