Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs MSV Duisburg, 2016

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1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1 – 1

Full Time

MSV Duisburg

Tue 20 Dec 2016 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts
MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.30

Draw 5.50

MSV Duisburg 10.00

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 games · Avg 3.1 goals MSV Duisburg

Last 5 meetings

2016-12-20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg 2016-03-20 MSV Duisburg 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2015-10-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-02-04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 MSV Duisburg 2014-08-29 MSV Duisburg 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	MSV Duisburg	H	1–1	D
16 Dec	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	2–2	D
10 Dec	Karlsruher SC	A	1–1	D
07 Dec	Mohun Bagan AC	A	2–2	D
03 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	H	4–1	W
26 Nov	FC Hansa Rostock	A	1–2	L

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
17 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–0	W
10 Dec	TuS Dassendorf	A	0–1	L
04 Dec	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–1	D
26 Nov	Karlsruher SC	A	0–0	D
19 Nov	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as Bayer 04 Leverkusen face off against MSV Duisburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
It finishes all square. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and MSV Duisburg share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2016-12-20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D 2016-12-16 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2016-12-10 Karlsruher SC 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2016-12-07 Mohun Bagan AC 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2016-12-03 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-11-26 FC Hansa Rostock 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

MSV Duisburg Form

2016-12-20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D 2016-12-17 MSV Duisburg 1–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-12-10 TuS Dassendorf 1–0 MSV Duisburg L 2016-12-04 MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Hansa Rostock D 2016-11-26 Karlsruher SC 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2016-11-19 MSV Duisburg 0–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.58 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1 MSV Duisburg xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen50% Draw27% MSV Duisburg23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

77%

Draw or MSV Duisburg

50%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or MSV Duisburg

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen35% Draw47% MSV Duisburg18%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11%

0 – 0

9.6%

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.8%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.