MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

MSV Duisburg

1 – 4

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 7 Apr 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 6.50

Draw 4.33

VfL Wolfsburg 1.50

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 9 games · Avg 3.8 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg 2017-11-18 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 MSV Duisburg 2017-04-01 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 MSV Duisburg 2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–4	L
31 Mar	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D
17 Mar	Wroxham FC	H	1–3	L
10 Mar	1. FC Nürnberg	A	3–1	W
03 Mar	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	0–2	L
26 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Apr	MSV Duisburg	A	4–1	W
31 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	6–0	W
18 Mar	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–2	L
10 Mar	TuS Dassendorf	H	6–0	W
04 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	4–0	W
24 Feb	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for MSV Duisburg to score. At the same time, VfL Wolfsburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg L 2018-03-31 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2018-03-17 MSV Duisburg 1–3 Wroxham FC L 2018-03-10 1. FC Nürnberg 1–3 MSV Duisburg W 2018-03-03 MSV Duisburg 0–2 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen L 2018-02-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-03-31 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2018-03-18 TuS Erndtebruck 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2018-03-10 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 TuS Dassendorf W 2018-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–4 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-02-24 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.06 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.28 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg19% Draw22% VfL Wolfsburg59%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

41%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

81%

MSV Duisburg or VfL Wolfsburg

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg15% Draw39% VfL Wolfsburg46%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

9.4%

1 – 1

9.3%

0 – 2

9.2%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 3

7.1%

0 – 3

6.8%

2 – 2

0 – 0

4.9%

2 – 1

4.4%

1 – 4

Actual

0 – 4

3.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	10%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	37%	—	63%
+1	37%	22%	42%
+1.5	58%	—	42%
+2	58%	19%	23%
+2.5	77%	—	23%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.