Málaga CF vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Málaga CF vs UD Almería — Segunda Division .
- Málaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almería 42 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Manuel Perez Hernandez (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almería | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Málaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 12 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandés | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | UD Almería | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Albacete Balompie | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Real Zaragoza | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Nov | Real Valladolid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | CD Mirandés | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Nov | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | Málaga CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Burgos CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Dec | Andorra CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | SD Huesca | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Nov | AD Ceuta FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Nov | CD Leganes | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Málaga CF | UD Almería | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 73 | Points | 75 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 21 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 22 / 9 / 11 |
| 75 | Scored | 80 |
| 52 | Conceded | 61 |
| +23 | GD | +19 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 50% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts). UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Malaga CF welcome UD Almería for this crunch clash at .
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Malaga CF 2-1 UD Almería.
Lineups
Málaga CF Lineups
UD Almería Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adri Embarba | 2 |
| Leo Baptistao | 2 |
| Adrian | 1 |
| Haitam Abaida | 1 |
| Sergio Arribas | 1 |
| Antonio Cordero | 1 |
| Daniel Sanchez | 1 |
Head to Head
Málaga CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03
Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
UD Almería xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Málaga CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Málaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or UD Almería
50%
Málaga CF or UD Almería
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Málaga CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Málaga CF
| Handicap | Málaga CF covers | Push | UD Almería covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.