Málaga CF vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Segunda Division · 2025-26

Málaga CF

3 – 0

Full Time

Burgos CF

Fri 23 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division .

Málaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Burgos CF 42 games · 72 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Real Racing Club de Santander	42	82
2	RC Deportivo La Coruña	42	77
3	UD Almería	42	75
4	Málaga CF	42	73
5	UD Las Palmas	42	73
6	CD Castellon	42	72
7	Burgos CF	42	72
8	SD Eibar	42	67
9	Real Sporting de Gijon	42	61
10	Cordoba CF	42	61
11	Albacete Balompie	42	59
12	AD Ceuta FC	42	59
13	Andorra CF	42	58
14	Granada CF	42	48
15	Real Sociedad B	42	47
16	CD Leganes	42	46
17	Real Valladolid CF	42	46
18	Cadiz CF	42	43
19	CD Mirandés	42	40
20	SD Huesca	42	38
21	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	42	37
22	Real Zaragoza	42	36

Head-to-Head

Málaga CF 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Burgos CF

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-23 Málaga CF 3–0 Burgos CF 2025-09-28 Burgos CF 2–1 Málaga CF 2025-05-31 Málaga CF 2–2 Burgos CF 2024-12-15 Burgos CF 0–0 Málaga CF

Recent Form

Málaga CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Burgos CF	H	3–0	W
18 Jan	Cordoba CF	A	1–0	W
11 Jan	AD Ceuta FC	H	2–1	W
04 Jan	Real Sporting de Gijon	A	3–1	W
21 Dec	UD Almería	H	2–1	W
14 Dec	Albacete Balompie	A	3–1	W

Burgos CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Málaga CF	A	0–3	L
18 Jan	SD Huesca	H	1–0	W
10 Jan	SD Eibar	H	1–0	W
03 Jan	Cordoba CF	A	0–2	L
21 Dec	Real Zaragoza	H	1–1	D
14 Dec	UD Almería	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Málaga CF		Burgos CF
#4	Position	#7
73	Points	72
42	Played	42
21 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	20 / 12 / 10
75	Scored	48
52	Conceded	33
+23	GD	+15
1.74	PPG	1.71
50%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts). Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Malaga CF is hosting Burgos CF for another epic battle.
With this win, Malaga CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

Burgos CF Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Fer Nino	1
Eduardo Espiau	1
Julen Lobete	1
Rodriguez Ruiz	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.67 Málaga CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Burgos CF xG

I would bet for: Málaga CF to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Málaga CF56% Draw25% Burgos CF19%

Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw

81%

Draw or Burgos CF

44%

Málaga CF or Burgos CF

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Málaga CF38% Draw47% Burgos CF15%

Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

12.2%

2 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

5.9%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

5.2%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

2.9%

4 – 0

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap	Málaga CF covers	Push	Burgos CF covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	17%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	24%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	12%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Burgos CF keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.