Saturday , 14 November 2026

Málaga CF vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
3 – 0
Full Time
Fri 23 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee
6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Burgos CF H 3–0 W
18 Jan Cordoba CF A 1–0 W
11 Jan AD Ceuta FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Real Sporting de Gijon A 3–1 W
21 Dec UD Almeria H 2–1 W
14 Dec Albacete Balompie A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Málaga CF A 0–3 L
18 Jan SD Huesca H 1–0 W
10 Jan SD Eibar H 1–0 W
03 Jan Cordoba CF A 0–2 L
21 Dec Real Zaragoza H 1–1 D
14 Dec UD Almeria A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burgos CF
0-15
2/6
16-30
4/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/1
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burgos CF
Alex Fores 4 G 1 A
Curro 4 G 1 A
Jon Karrikaburu 3 G 2 A
David Gonzalez 3 G 1 A
Javier Llabres 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Málaga CF to score. At the same time, Burgos CF does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Málaga CF to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

Burgos CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7 Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Burgos CF xG
I would bet for: Málaga CF to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Málaga CF56% Draw25% Burgos CF19%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw
81%
Draw or Burgos CF
44%
Málaga CF or Burgos CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Málaga CF38% Draw46% Burgos CF16%
Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap Málaga CF covers Push Burgos CF covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.