Sunday , 26 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Crystal Palace FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,029 HT 45' · FT 45'
Teden Mengi 72' 1–0
1–1 74' Michael Olise
Jacob Brown 83' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Crystal Palace FCPremier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Crystal Palace FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–1 W
11 Nov Manchester United FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov Liverpool FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
21 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
07 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
11 Nov Everton FC H 2–3 L
04 Nov Burnley FC A 2–0 W
27 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
21 Oct Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
07 Oct Nottingham Forest FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Crystal Palace FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC49% Draw27% Crystal Palace FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Crystal Palace FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Crystal Palace FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC33% Draw47% Crystal Palace FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Crystal Palace FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Crystal Palace FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.