Saturday , 14 November 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Sincil Bank Stadium 8,514 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Luke Plange
Ethan Hamilton 49' 1–1
Y 59' Luke Plange
Y 72' Joe Garner
Dylan Duffy 77' Y
Y 77' Jon Mellish
Y 83' Sam Lavelle
Y 89' Owen Moxon

Overview

Match Preview

Lincoln City FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Sincil Bank Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Matthew Jones
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
1
Lincoln City FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Carlisle United FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
26 Aug Blackpool FC H 3–0 W
19 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
15 Aug Northampton Town FC A 2–2 D
12 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
09 Sep Stevenage FC A 2–2 D
02 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W
26 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Carlisle United FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Carlisle United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 19' GOAL! Luke Plange scores on 19. Assisted by Owen Moxon
  • 24' Lincoln City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 39' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Kennedy will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Alistair Smith by Hakeeb Adelakun on 46 minute.
  • 49' A goal from the Scotland international Ethan Hamilton! He fires home on 49 to make it 1-1!
  • 54' Carlisle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 59' Luke Plange has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
  • 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lincoln City FC that had 329 games and scored 395 goals.
  • 68' Lincoln City FC ring the changes. Recco Hackett-Fairchild has done his job and it is now time for Dylan Duffy to step up.
  • 72' It’s a booking for Carlisle United FC player. Joe Garner gets a card.
  • 75' Lincoln City FC ring the changes. Ted Bishop has done his job and it is now time for Jaden Brown to step up.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Dylan Duffy argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' Paudie O'Connor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Carlisle United FC tonight.
  • 83' The referee shows Carlisle United FC player a card on 83.
  • 88' Carlisle United FC have won 53 goals from 57 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Owen Moxon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC51% Draw27% Carlisle United FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Lincoln City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC35% Draw49% Carlisle United FC16%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.