Saturday , 14 November 2026

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade Pierre-Mauroy 42,467 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David 50' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
16 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
08 Feb Le Havre AC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
31 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Olivier Giroud 3 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 2 G 1 A
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Ethan Mbappe 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Pierre-Mauroy will turn into a battlefield for Lille OSC and Montpellier HSC.
  • 5' Nabil Bentaleb has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 9' Alexsandro Ribeiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 9.
  • 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 19' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thomas Meunier, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Pierre-Mauroy with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jean-Louis Gasset might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' Montpellier HSC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 36' A moment of madness from Rabby Nzingoula on 36 minutes earns him a card. Montpellier HSC will be frustrated.
  • 41' It looks surprising Lille OSC does not make any changes. Benjamin Lecomte has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for Lille OSC to replace Mitchel Bakker by Ismaily on 46 minute.
  • 50' Jonathan David makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Lille OSC are in front.
  • 55' Mali international Falaye Sacko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' Montpellier HSC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 67' Lille OSC ring the changes. Thomas Meunier has done his job and it is now time for Aissa Mandi to step up.
  • 68' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Yael Mouanga by Othmane Maamma on 68 minute.
  • 71' The referee calls foul for Theo Sainte-Luce. He receives a card.
  • 75' Nicolas Pays gets the nod from Montpellier HSC. He replaces Rabby Nzingoula and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Montpellier HSC make a change. Tanguy Coulibaly trudges off to be replaced by Wahbi Khazri on 76 minutes.
  • 78' Boubacar Kouyate is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 83' Joris Chotard, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Bafode Diakite. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Wilfried Bille comes on to replace Falaye Sacko.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Lille OSC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC54% Draw28% Montpellier HSC18%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
82%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
46%
Lille OSC or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC33% Draw52% Montpellier HSC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.