Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade Pierre-Mauroy 42,467 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David 50' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
16 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
08 Feb Le Havre AC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
31 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Olivier Giroud 1 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 1 G 1 A
Hakon Haraldsson 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stade Pierre-Mauroy!
  • 5' Lille OSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alexsandro Ribeiro.
  • 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bruno Génésio might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 19' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bruno Génésio will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lille OSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 29' Othmane Maamma is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Lille OSC tonight.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' The referee shows Montpellier HSC player a card on 36.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Mitchel Bakker departs to be replaced by Ismaily.
  • 50' Goal! Jonathan David scores his 158 goal in 306 matches.
  • 55' Montpellier HSC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 65' Algeria international Nabil Bentaleb has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' Another change for Lille OSC made on 67 minute. Thomas Meunier leaves to be changed by Aissa Mandi.
  • 68' Othmane Maamma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yael Mouanga on 68 minute.
  • 71' That is a card for Montpellier HSC. Theo Sainte-Luce will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' A change in the Montpellier HSC ranks — Rabby Nzingoula exits the field as Nicolas Pays enters on 75.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Wahbi Khazri comes on to replace Tanguy Coulibaly.
  • 78' Poor challenge from Boubacar Kouyate. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' It is a cagey affair so far. Lille OSC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Montpellier HSC's compact 5-4-1.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bafode Diakite on 84.
  • 86' Wilfried Bille is ready to make an impact after coming on for Falaye Sacko at the 86 minute mark.
  • With this win, Lille OSC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC54% Draw28% Montpellier HSC18%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
82%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
46%
Lille OSC or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC33% Draw52% Montpellier HSC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.