Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
6 – 1
Full Time
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct FC Metz H 6–1 W
23 Oct PAOK Thessaloniki FC H 3–4 L
19 Oct FC Nantes A 2–0 W
05 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
02 Oct AS Roma A 1–0 W
28 Sep Olympique Lyonnais H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Lille OSC A 1–6 L
19 Oct Toulouse FC A 0–4 L
04 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–3 L
28 Sep Le Havre AC H 0–0 D
21 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–5 L
14 Sep Angers SCO H 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Olivier Giroud 1 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 1 G 1 A
Hakon Haraldsson 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Lille OSC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC64% Draw20% FC Metz16%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Metz
36%
Lille OSC or FC Metz
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC48% Draw37% FC Metz15%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
6.5%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
4 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
4%
0 – 0
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 19% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 21% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.