Kilmarnock FC vs Hamilton Academical FC, Premier League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2020-21

Kilmarnock FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Hamilton Academical FC

Sat 19 Sep 2020 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park HT 45+2' · FT 45+7'

Eamonn Brophy 23' R

Y 28' Shaun Want

Y 45' Marios Ogkmpoe

Y 78' Reegan Mimnaugh

Aaron Tshibola 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Hamilton Academical FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Hamilton Academical FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Nick Walsh
Referee David Roome
Referee Gordon Crawford
Referee Greg Aitken

6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 15.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals Hamilton Academical FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-09-19 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Hamilton Academical FC 2020-03-07 Hamilton Academical FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC 2019-11-09 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Hamilton Academical FC 2019-08-10 Hamilton Academical FC 2–0 Kilmarnock FC 2019-03-30 Kilmarnock FC 5–0 Hamilton Academical FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Sep	Hamilton Academical FC	H	2–1	W
12 Sep	Aberdeen FC	A	0–1	L
29 Aug	Dundee United FC	H	4–0	W
22 Aug	Rangers FC	A	0–2	L
15 Aug	St. Johnstone FC	H	1–2	L
12 Aug	Ross County FC	A	2–2	D

Hamilton Academical FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Sep	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–2	L
12 Sep	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
29 Aug	Rangers FC	H	0–2	L
22 Aug	Motherwell FC	A	1–0	W
15 Aug	St. Mirren FC	H	0–1	L
08 Aug	Ross County FC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Kilmarnock FC welcome Hamilton Academical FC for this crunch clash at Rugby Park.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Brian Rice might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' What a strike from Greg Kiltie! The score is 1-0.
15' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
18' A stunning finish from Hakeem Odoffin — that came from absolutely nowhere!
23' A moment of madness from Eamonn Brophy on 23 minutes earns him a Red card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Shaun Want.
33' Ryan Fulton has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
38' Aaron Tshibola is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hamilton Academical FC tonight.
43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
45' A moment of madness from Marios Ogkmpoe on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Hamilton Academical FC will be frustrated.
50' It looks surprising Hamilton Academical FC does not make any changes. Jamie Hamilton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
55' Gary Dicker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
56' Callum Smith gets the nod from Hamilton Academical FC. He replaces Scott Martin and will look to change the dynamic.
57' Goal! Nicke Kabamba scores his 9 goal in 13 matches.
61' A tactical swap from Hamilton Academical FC — Justin Johnson on, Jamie Hamilton off on 61 minutes.
66' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
68' Hamilton Academical FC ring the changes. Will Collar has done his job and it is now time for Charlie Trafford to step up.
73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamilton Academical FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
78' Reegan Mimnaugh picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
82' Chris Burke makes way for Rory McKenzie at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Aaron Tshibola.
90' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Greg Kiltie has done his job and it is now time for Mitchell Pinnock to step up.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alex Dyer

Hamilton Academical FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Brian Rice

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Greg Kiltie	3
Eamonn Brophy	2
Mikel Miller	2
Mitchell Pinnock	2
Mohamed El Makrini	1
Dougie Imrie	1
Steve Davies	1
Marios Ogkmpoe	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2020-09-19 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Hamilton Academical FC W 2020-09-12 Aberdeen FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2020-08-29 Kilmarnock FC 4–0 Dundee United FC W 2020-08-22 Rangers FC 2–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2020-08-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 St. Johnstone FC L 2020-08-12 Ross County FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D

Hamilton Academical FC Form

2020-09-19 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Hamilton Academical FC L 2020-09-12 Livingston FC 1–2 Hamilton Academical FC W 2020-08-29 Hamilton Academical FC 0–2 Rangers FC L 2020-08-22 Motherwell FC 0–1 Hamilton Academical FC W 2020-08-15 Hamilton Academical FC 0–1 St. Mirren FC L 2020-08-08 Hamilton Academical FC 0–1 Ross County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.58 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.13 Hamilton Academical FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC48% Draw27% Hamilton Academical FC25%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Hamilton Academical FC

52%

Kilmarnock FC or Hamilton Academical FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC33% Draw46% Hamilton Academical FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

1 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.6%

2 – 0

8.1%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Hamilton Academical FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Hamilton Academical FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.