Italy vs Ireland, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Ireland Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.5
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Ireland xG
I would bet for:
Italy to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
87%
Draw or Ireland
31%
Italy or Ireland
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–0 not predicted7 – 0Actual
2 – 0
11.8%
3 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
5 – 0
3%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Ireland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 21% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Ireland keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.