Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hull City AFC vs Doncaster Rovers FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 12:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 10,032 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 51' Luke Molyneux
Gustavo Puerta 80' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Doncaster Rovers FCFA Cup at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC H 4–5 L
04 Jan Leeds United FC H 3–3 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Hull City AFC A 5–4 W
01 Dec Kettering Town FC A 2–1 W
02 Nov Barrow AFC A 1–0 W
02 Dec Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
14 Nov Accrington Stanley FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Accrington Stanley FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hull City AFC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Doncaster Rovers FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Doncaster Rovers FC
Owen Bailey 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hull City AFC and Doncaster Rovers FC get this one started.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Doncaster Rovers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Hull City AFC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Doncaster Rovers FC's shape.
  • 20' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Doncaster Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Joseph Olowu.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Abu Kamara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jay McGrath.
  • 46' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Finley Burns has done his job and it is now time for Alfie Jones to step up.
  • 51' Luke Molyneux is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 55' Ryan John Giles picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 57' That is a card for Doncaster Rovers FC. Joe Sbarra will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' Ryan John Giles makes way for Lewie Coyle at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hull City AFC.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Joe Sbarra as he leaves the pitch. Harry Clifton steps in for Doncaster Rovers FC.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Harry Clifton.
  • 70' Doncaster Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Doncaster Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 71' The Doncaster Rovers FC manager makes a substitution. Billy Sharp departs to be replaced by Joe Ironside.
  • 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' Doncaster Rovers FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' What a strike from Gustavo Puerta! The score is 1-1.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Teddy Sharman-Lowe. He receives a card.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Doncaster Rovers FC team. Robert Street is replaced by Ethan Ennis on 84 minute.
  • 89' Jamie Sterry catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • 90' Ben Close has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Broadbent on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-5 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97 Doncaster Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Doncaster Rovers FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC36% Draw24% Doncaster Rovers FC40%
Actual: Doncaster Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
61%
Draw or Doncaster Rovers FC
64%
Hull City AFC or Doncaster Rovers FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC30% Draw38% Doncaster Rovers FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Doncaster Rovers FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 17% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
15%
Doncaster Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.