Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC — 2. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Bacher
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Karlsruher SC H 3–0 W
13 Sep FC Schalke 04 A 1–0 W
30 Aug Hannover 96 H 1–2 L
24 Aug SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 2–0 W
17 Aug FC 08 Homburg A 2–0 W
10 Aug Arminia Bielefeld H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Holstein Kiel A 0–3 L
13 Sep 1. FC Nürnberg H 2–1 W
30 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 0–0 D
23 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W
17 Aug ZFC Meuselwitz A 5–0 W
10 Aug Hertha BSC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel Karlsruher SC
#16 Position #14
4 Points 5
6 Played 6
0 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 6
10 Conceded 12
-3 GD -6
0.67 PPG 0.83
0% Win % 17%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
17% Clean Sheets
Karlsruher SC this season

Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts). Karlsruher SC are 14th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Karlsruher SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G
Karlsruher SC
Moritz Broschinski 2 G
Shio Fukuda 2 G
Marvin Wanitzek 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Karlsruher SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Karlsruher SC xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel to win 56% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel56% Draw26% Karlsruher SC18%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
82%
Draw or Karlsruher SC
44%
Holstein Kiel or Karlsruher SC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel39% Draw47% Karlsruher SC14%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push Karlsruher SC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Karlsruher SC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.