Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,286 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juho Talvitie 33' 1–0
1–1 37' Jesse Bosch

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II TilburgEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Edwin van de Graaf
  • Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
  • Assistant 2 Luc de Koning (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
18 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
11 Aug Sparta Rotterdam A 0–0 D
19 May Fortuna Sittard H 0–0 D
12 May SBV Excelsior A 0–4 L
05 May RKC Waalwijk H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Heracles Almelo A 1–1 D
18 Aug Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
10 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
15 May FC Utrecht H 3–0 W
11 May SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 1–1 D
07 May Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
/5
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Erve Asito. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heracles Almelo and Willem II Tilburg.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Shiloh 't Zand has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 233 appearances.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and Willem II Tilburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 33' What composure from Juho Talvitie! The Finland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 37' The Netherlands Jesse Bosch breaks the deadlock on 37 minutes. 1-1!
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nick Doodeman suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' A moment of madness from Ruben Roosken on 57 minutes earns him a card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Daniel van Kaam is replaced by Sem Scheperman.
  • 59' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 59 minute. Bryan Limbombe leaves to be changed by Suf Podgoreanu.
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jesse Bosch on 62.
  • 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mario Engels on 71.
  • 75' Willem II Tilburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' A change in the Willem II Tilburg ranks — Nick Doodeman exits the field as Jeremy Bokila enters on 79.
  • 82' A moment of madness from Amine Lachkar on 82 minutes earns him a card. Willem II Tilburg will be frustrated.
  • 87' Willem II Tilburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Willem II Tilburg 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo33% Draw29% Willem II Tilburg38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
63%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
67%
Heracles Almelo or Willem II Tilburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo24% Draw48% Willem II Tilburg28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push Willem II Tilburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
26%
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.