Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Allard Lindhout
- Referee Johan Balder
- Referee Rens Bluemink
- Referee Van der Eijk
4 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | AFC Ajax | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | VVV Venlo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Feb | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | Willem II Tilburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Jan | FC Emmen | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | RKC Waalwijk | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | PSV | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | FC Groningen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | ADO Den Haag | H | 6–1 | W |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Erve Asito will turn into a battlefield for Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax.
- 5' It’s high time Frank Wormuth made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's shape.
- 20' Perr Schuurs has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Netherlands international Klaas-Jan Huntelaar has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 41' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mohammed Osman on 41 minutes.
- 46' Carel Eiting gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Lisandro Martinez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Wormuth will be considering his options from the bench.
- 61' Ryan Gravenberch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 61.
- 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 70' Ryan Babel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 70.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Danilo. He replaces Ryan Babel on 72 minute.
- 75' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 75 minute. Mohammed Osman leaves to be changed by Silvester van der Water.
- 77' A goal from the Nigeria international Cyriel Dessers! He fires home on 77 to make it 1-0!
- 80' Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Gravenberch on 80 minute.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Orestis Kiomourtzoglou on 82 minutes.
- 83' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 83 minute. Mauro Junior leaves to be changed by Sebastian Jakubiak.
- 88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- Another three points for Heracles Almelo.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 34
- 14
- 52
- 23
- 37
- 13
- 22
Bench
- 15
- 16
-
6
Dario Van den Buijs ↑ 72'
-
21
Sebastian Jakubiak ↑ 83'
-
11
Silvester van der Water ↑ 75'
- 26
- 8
- 17
- 7
Coach
Frank Wormuth
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
- 10
- 24
- 6
- 9
- 17
- 2
- 29
-
49
Ryan Babel ↓ Danilo 72'
- 21
- 28
Bench
-
8
Carel Eiting ↑ 46'
-
26
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp ↑ 80'
- 33
- 4
- 1
- 18
-
47
Danilo ↑ 72'
- 23
- 41
Coach
Erik ten Hag
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mario Engels | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 3 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| Sebastien Haller | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Luka Kulenovic | 2 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heracles Almelo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
74%
Draw or AFC Ajax
55%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

