Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2019-20
Sun 23 Feb 2020 · 15:45 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Allard Lindhout
  • Referee Johan Balder
  • Referee Rens Bluemink
  • Referee Van der Eijk
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–0 W
14 Feb VVV Venlo A 0–1 L
07 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 2–0 W
02 Feb Willem II Tilburg A 0–1 L
25 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Emmen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
16 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 3–0 W
02 Feb PSV H 1–0 W
26 Jan FC Groningen A 1–2 L
19 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
22 Dec ADO Den Haag H 6–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Erve Asito will turn into a battlefield for Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' It’s high time Frank Wormuth made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's shape.
  • 20' Perr Schuurs has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' Netherlands international Klaas-Jan Huntelaar has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mohammed Osman on 41 minutes.
  • 46' Carel Eiting gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Lisandro Martinez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Wormuth will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' Ryan Gravenberch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 61.
  • 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 70' Ryan Babel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 70.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Danilo. He replaces Ryan Babel on 72 minute.
  • 75' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 75 minute. Mohammed Osman leaves to be changed by Silvester van der Water.
  • 77' A goal from the Nigeria international Cyriel Dessers! He fires home on 77 to make it 1-0!
  • 80' Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Gravenberch on 80 minute.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Orestis Kiomourtzoglou on 82 minutes.
  • 83' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 83 minute. Mauro Junior leaves to be changed by Sebastian Jakubiak.
  • 88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • Another three points for Heracles Almelo.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo45% Draw29% AFC Ajax26%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
74%
Draw or AFC Ajax
55%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo30% Draw51% AFC Ajax19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.