Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2019-20
Sun 23 Feb 2020 · 15:45 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Allard Lindhout
  • Referee Johan Balder
  • Referee Rens Bluemink
  • Referee Van der Eijk
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–0 W
14 Feb VVV Venlo A 0–1 L
07 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 2–0 W
02 Feb Willem II Tilburg A 0–1 L
25 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Emmen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
16 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 3–0 W
02 Feb PSV H 1–0 W
26 Jan FC Groningen A 1–2 L
19 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
22 Dec ADO Den Haag H 6–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Heracles Almelo gets underway.
  • 5' Danilo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 480 appearances.
  • 10' AFC Ajax have won 817 goals from 480 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AFC Ajax backline.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' Lisandro Martinez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' The 30-year-old Andre Onana has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Mohammed Osman.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Lisandro Martinez as he leaves the pitch. Carel Eiting steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • 51' Netherlands international Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' The referee calls foul for Ryan Gravenberch. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 66' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Mats Knoester has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Babel on 70.
  • 72' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Ryan Babel is replaced by Danilo.
  • 75' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Mohammed Osman has done his job and it is now time for Silvester van der Water to step up.
  • 77' Cyriel Dessers is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 80' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Ryan Gravenberch has done his job and it is now time for Jurgen Ekkelenkamp to step up.
  • 82' Orestis Kiomourtzoglou catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 82.
  • 83' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Mauro Junior exits the field as Sebastian Jakubiak enters on 83.
  • 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heracles Almelo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 1-0 the final result. AFC Ajax will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo45% Draw29% AFC Ajax26%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
74%
Draw or AFC Ajax
55%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo30% Draw51% AFC Ajax19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
39%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.