Sunday , 15 November 2026

Germany vs Scotland, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

5 – 1
Full Time
Fri 14 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena 65,052 HT 45' · FT 45'
Florian Wirtz 10' 1–0
Jamal Musiala 19' 2–0
Kai Havertz pen 45+1' 3–0
Niclas Fullkrug 68' 4–0
4–1 87' Antonio Rudiger og
Emre Can 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Germany vs Scotland — European Championship at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Germany 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Scotland

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jun Scotland H 5–1 W
01 Dec Costa Rica A 4–2 W
27 Nov Spain A 1–1 D
23 Nov Japan H 1–2 L
29 Jun England A 0–2 L
23 Jun Hungary H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jun Germany A 1–5 L
22 Jun Croatia A 1–3 L
18 Jun England A 0–0 D
14 Jun Czechia H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Germany this season
0% Clean Sheets
Scotland this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Scotland
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Scotland
Scott McTominay 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Germany welcome Scotland for this crunch clash at Allianz Arena.
  • 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Callum McGregor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Scotland.
  • 10' Brilliant from the ! Florian Wirtz makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
  • 15' Germany seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' Magnificent from Jamal Musiala! That is 75 goals in 550 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' Germany receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' Scotland player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Against the run of play, Kai Havertz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Pascal Gross gets the nod from Germany. He replaces Robert Andrich and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 48' Anthony Ralston picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Julian Nagelsmann might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 62' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jonathan Tah on 62 minutes.
  • 63' Niclas Fullkrug gets the nod from Germany. He replaces Kai Havertz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Scotland! Kenny McLean comes on to replace John McGinn.
  • 68' Brilliant from the forward! Niclas Fullkrug makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 68.
  • 73' Germany are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Scotland backline.
  • 74' A change in the Germany ranks — Jamal Musiala exits the field as Thomas Muller enters on 74.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Kieran Tierney as he leaves the pitch. Scott McKenna steps in for Scotland.
  • 80' Germany make a change. Toni Kroos trudges off to be replaced by Emre Can on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Scotland. Ryan Christie is replaced by Lawrence Shankland.
  • 87' GOAL! Antonio Rudiger fires home to make it 5-0!
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Germany to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Scotland xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Germany to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Germany65% Draw19% Scotland16%
Actual: Germany win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Germany or Draw
85%
Draw or Scotland
35%
Germany or Scotland
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Germany51% Draw36% Scotland13%
Actual: Germany win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Germany

Handicap Germany covers Push Scotland covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 20% 52%
-1.5 48% — 52%
-1 48% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Germany keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Scotland keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.