Genoa CFC vs Cagliari Calcio, 2016

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Serie A 2016/17 · 2016

Genoa CFC

0 – 3

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Sat 1 Oct 2016 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Genoa CFC vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A .

Genoa CFC 0 games · 0 pts
Cagliari Calcio 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Genoa CFC 3.00

Draw 3.30

Cagliari Calcio 2.40

Head-to-Head

Genoa CFC 22 games · Avg 2.3 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-01 Genoa CFC 0–3 Cagliari Calcio 2016-01-31 Genoa CFC 0–0 Cagliari Calcio 2015-09-13 Cagliari Calcio 2–0 Genoa CFC 2015-02-15 Genoa CFC 0–1 Cagliari Calcio 2014-09-25 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 Genoa CFC

Recent Form

Genoa CFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	Cagliari Calcio	H	0–3	L
25 Sep	AC Milan	A	0–1	L
21 Sep	Empoli FC	H	2–2	D
18 Sep	UC Sampdoria	H	1–2	L
11 Sep	Bologna FC 1909	A	1–0	W
28 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	2–0	W

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	Genoa CFC	A	3–0	W
25 Sep	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	2–0	W
20 Sep	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–2	L
17 Sep	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	3–0	W
11 Sep	UC Sampdoria	A	1–1	D
27 Aug	Indian Arrows	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Genoa CFC and Cagliari Calcio get this one started.
Full Time. Cagliari Calcio beats Genoa CFC

Lineups

Genoa CFC Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Morten Frendrup	2
Mattia Destro	2
Mohamed Salim Fares	2
Nicolas Viola	2
Joao Pedro Galvao	2
Albert Gudmundsson	2
Christian Kouame	1
Goran Pandev	1

Head to Head

Genoa CFC Form

2016-10-01 Genoa CFC 0–3 Cagliari Calcio L 2016-09-25 AC Milan 1–0 Genoa CFC L 2016-09-21 Genoa CFC 2–2 Empoli FC D 2016-09-18 Genoa CFC 1–2 UC Sampdoria L 2016-09-11 Bologna FC 1909 0–1 Genoa CFC W 2016-08-28 Genoa CFC 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny W

Cagliari Calcio Form

2016-10-01 Genoa CFC 0–3 Cagliari Calcio W 2016-09-25 Cagliari Calcio 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2016-09-20 Bologna FC 1909 2–0 Cagliari Calcio L 2016-09-17 Cagliari Calcio 3–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2016-09-11 UC Sampdoria 1–1 Cagliari Calcio D 2016-08-27 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 Indian Arrows L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1 Genoa CFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.34 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Genoa CFC28% Draw30% Cagliari Calcio42%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.34

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Genoa CFC or Draw

58%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

72%

Genoa CFC or Cagliari Calcio

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Genoa CFC20% Draw50% Cagliari Calcio30%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 0

11.8%

0 – 1

11.8%

1 – 0

8.5%

1 – 2

8.4%

0 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

4.7%

2 – 2

4.3%

1 – 3

3.8%

0 – 3

Actual

3 – 1

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC

Handicap	Genoa CFC covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	16%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	22%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	13%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.