Finland vs Russia, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Finland vs Russia — European Championship at Saint Petersburg Stadium.
Match Details
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Hessel Steegstra
- Referee Jan de Vries
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Referee Istvan Kovacs
- Referee Kevin Blom
4 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Finland and Russia is underway.
- 5' Daler Kuzyaev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Russia tonight.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 22' The referee has no hesitation. Glen Kamara is booked for Finland — Yellow card on 22.
- 25' The Russia manager makes a substitution. Mario Fernandes departs to be replaced by Vyacheslav Karavaev.
- 26' The Russia manager makes a substitution. Mario Fernandes departs to be replaced by Vyacheslav Karavaev.
- 27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Dmitrii Barinov.
- 32' Russia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 34' The referee shows Russia player a Yellow card on 34.
- 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Finland must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 44' Russia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 47' Aleksei Miranchuk has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 52' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Finland and Russia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Finland and Russia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' Time for substitution for Russia. Magomed Ozdoev is replaced by Rifat Zhemaletdinov.
- 66' Maksim Mukhin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 67' It is a substitution in Finland team. Rasmus Schuller is replaced by Joni Kauko on 67 minute.
- 68' Joni Kauko is replacing Rasmus Schuller for the Finland side.
- 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' The Finland manager makes a substitution. Jukka Raitala departs to be replaced by Pyry Soiri.
- 76' Another change for Finland made on 76 minute. Teemu Pukki leaves to be changed by Lassi Lappalainen.
- 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rasmus Schuller made 283 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Another change for Finland made on 85 minute. Joona Toivio leaves to be changed by Fredrik Jensen.
- 86' A tactical swap from Russia — Maksim Mukhin on, Aleksei Miranchuk off on 86 minutes.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Georgii Dzhikiya on 88 minutes.
- 90' The referee shows Finland player a Yellow card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Finland Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
4
Joona Toivio ↓ Fredrik Jensen 85'
- 2
- 3
-
22
Jukka Raitala ↓ Pyry Soiri 75'
- 18
-
11
Rasmus Schuller ↓ Joni Kauko 67'
- 6
- 8
- 20
-
10
Teemu Pukki ↓ Lassi Lappalainen 76'
Bench
- 12
- 23
- 5
-
9
Fredrik Jensen ↑ 85'
- 14
-
19
Joni Kauko ↑ 67'
- 24
- 25
-
13
Pyry Soiri ↑ 75'
- 17
-
21
Lassi Lappalainen ↑ 76'
- 26
Coach
Markku Kanerva
Russia Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 11
- 23
- 2
- 22
- 14
- 15
- 8
- 3
- 7
- 16
Bench
-
4
Vyacheslav Karavaev ↑ 25'
- 6
- 5
- 10
- 1
-
19
Rifat Zhemaletdinov ↑ 61'
- 12
- 24
-
9
Aleksandr Sobolev ↑ 85'
- 21
-
26
Maksim Mukhin ↑ 85'
- 25
Coach
Stanislav Cherchesov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 1 |
Head to Head
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9
Finland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Russia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Russia or Draw 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Russia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Finland or Draw
66%
Draw or Russia
68%
Finland or Russia
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Russia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 3
2.2%
1 – 3
2.1%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Finland
| Handicap | Finland covers | Push | Russia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Finland keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Russia keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.