FK Spartaks Jurmala vs Crusaders FC, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

FK Spartaks Jurmala

4 – 0

Full Time

Crusaders FC

Sun 15 Jan 2017 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Spartaks Jurmala vs Crusaders FC — Premier League .

FK Spartaks Jurmala 0 games · 0 pts
Crusaders FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Spartaks Jurmala 4.50

Draw 4.00

Crusaders FC 1.80

Head-to-Head

FK Spartaks Jurmala 8 games · Avg 2.1 goals Crusaders FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-01-15 FK Spartaks Jurmala 4–0 Crusaders FC 2016-10-15 Crusaders FC 1–1 FK Spartaks Jurmala 2016-01-13 Crusaders FC 0–0 FK Spartaks Jurmala 2015-08-23 FK Spartaks Jurmala 0–2 Crusaders FC 2015-01-10 FK Spartaks Jurmala 1–1 Crusaders FC

Recent Form

FK Spartaks Jurmala

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jan	Crusaders FC	H	4–0	W
07 Jan	KF Shkendija 79	H	1–2	L
02 Jan	FC Spartak Trnava	H	3–0	W
30 Dec	FC Barcelona	A	2–2	D
26 Dec	KF Shkendija 79	A	2–0	W
19 Dec	Malmo FF	H	0–1	L

Crusaders FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Jan	FK Spartaks Jurmala	A	0–4	L
06 Jan	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	5–0	W
02 Jan	APOEL FC	H	2–1	W
31 Dec	Malmo FF	A	0–1	L
26 Dec	FC Barcelona	A	3–0	W
18 Dec	Helsingin JK	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! FK Spartaks Jurmala vs Crusaders FC — let the football do the talking.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Spartaks Jurmala to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FK Spartaks Jurmala Lineups

Crusaders FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FK Spartaks Jurmala Form

2017-01-15 FK Spartaks Jurmala 4–0 Crusaders FC W 2017-01-06 FK Spartaks Jurmala 1–2 KF Shkendija 79 L 2017-01-02 FK Spartaks Jurmala 3–0 FC Spartak Trnava W 2016-12-30 FC Barcelona 2–2 FK Spartaks Jurmala D 2016-12-26 KF Shkendija 79 0–2 FK Spartaks Jurmala W 2016-12-19 FK Spartaks Jurmala 0–1 Malmo FF L

Crusaders FC Form

2017-01-15 FK Spartaks Jurmala 4–0 Crusaders FC L 2017-01-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–5 Crusaders FC W 2017-01-02 Crusaders FC 2–1 APOEL FC W 2016-12-31 Malmo FF 1–0 Crusaders FC L 2016-12-26 FC Barcelona 0–3 Crusaders FC W 2016-12-18 Crusaders FC 2–1 Helsingin JK W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.5 FK Spartaks Jurmala xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Crusaders FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Spartaks Jurmala46% Draw27% Crusaders FC27%

Actual: FK Spartaks Jurmala win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.61

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

FK Spartaks Jurmala or Draw

73%

Draw or Crusaders FC

54%

FK Spartaks Jurmala or Crusaders FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Spartaks Jurmala32% Draw47% Crusaders FC21%

Actual: FK Spartaks Jurmala win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

10%

0 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

3 – 1

4.5%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Spartaks Jurmala

Handicap	FK Spartaks Jurmala covers	Push	Crusaders FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Spartaks Jurmala keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

Crusaders FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.