Qarabag Agdam FK vs Crusaders FC, 2017

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Premier League 2017/18 · 2017

Qarabag Agdam FK

0 – 5

Full Time

Crusaders FC

Thu 5 Jan 2017 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Crusaders FC — Premier League .

Qarabag Agdam FK 0 games · 0 pts
Crusaders FC 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

Qarabag Agdam FK 9 games · Avg 3.7 goals Crusaders FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-01-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–5 Crusaders FC 2016-08-28 Crusaders FC 3–1 Qarabag Agdam FK 2016-01-23 Qarabag Agdam FK 2–2 Crusaders FC 2015-09-19 Crusaders FC 1–2 Qarabag Agdam FK 2015-04-19 Crusaders FC 2–0 Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

Qarabag Agdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Jan	Crusaders FC	H	0–5	L
02 Jan	NK Olimpija Ljubljana	H	0–2	L
31 Dec	KF Shkendija 79	A	0–1	L
26 Dec	HSK Zrinjski Mostar	A	4–1	W
17 Dec	FC Barcelona	H	1–0	W
14 Dec	APOEL FC	H	1–0	W

Crusaders FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Jan	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	5–0	W
02 Jan	APOEL FC	H	2–1	W
31 Dec	Malmo FF	A	0–1	L
26 Dec	FC Barcelona	A	3–0	W
18 Dec	Helsingin JK	H	2–1	W
14 Dec	The New Saints FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Qarabag Agdam FK to score. At the same time, Crusaders FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Qarabag Agdam FK.

Lineups

Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups

Crusaders FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Qarabag Agdam FK Form

2017-01-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–5 Crusaders FC L 2017-01-02 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana L 2016-12-31 KF Shkendija 79 1–0 Qarabag Agdam FK L 2016-12-26 HSK Zrinjski Mostar 1–4 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2016-12-17 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 FC Barcelona W 2016-12-14 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 APOEL FC W

Crusaders FC Form

2017-01-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–5 Crusaders FC W 2017-01-02 Crusaders FC 2–1 APOEL FC W 2016-12-31 Malmo FF 1–0 Crusaders FC L 2016-12-26 FC Barcelona 0–3 Crusaders FC W 2016-12-18 Crusaders FC 2–1 Helsingin JK W 2016-12-14 Crusaders FC 2–0 The New Saints FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

0.95 Qarabag Agdam FK xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 Crusaders FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Qarabag Agdam FK22% Draw26% Crusaders FC52%

Actual: Crusaders FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.84

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw

47%

Draw or Crusaders FC

78%

Qarabag Agdam FK or Crusaders FC

74%

Half-Time Result

Qarabag Agdam FK15% Draw44% Crusaders FC41%

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted

0 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

11.3%

0 – 1

10.3%

0 – 2

10.2%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 0

7.6%

0 – 3

6.3%

1 – 3

2 – 1

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 4

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap	Qarabag Agdam FK covers	Push	Crusaders FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	11%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	42%	—	58%
+1	42%	23%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	18%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Crusaders FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.