Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Ural vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
1 – 4
Full Time
Sun 22 Oct 2023 · 09:00 UTC Stadion Centralniy HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct PFK Sochi H 1–4 L
07 Oct FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–2 D
29 Sep FK Rostov A 2–2 D
24 Sep FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L
17 Sep FK Fakel Voronezh H 0–0 D
02 Sep RFK Akhmat Grozny H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct FK Ural A 4–1 W
07 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–2 L
01 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–2 L
23 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–2 L
16 Sep FK Spartak Moskva H 0–1 L
03 Sep FK Orenburg A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FK Ural have kicked off against PFK Sochi. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 2' The referee shows PFK Sochi player a card on 2.
  • 7' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 12' Igor Dmitriev, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Goal! Kirill Kravtsov scores his 9 goal in 398 matches.
  • 17' Nikita Burmistrov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Guilherme Schettine needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 27' PFK Sochi seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' The travelling PFK Sochi supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' The deadlock is broken! Martin Kramaric gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
  • 37' The FK Ural manager makes a substitution. Mingiyan Beveev departs to be replaced by Timur Ayupov.
  • 38' Andrey Egorychev is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 43' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' Vladislav Malkevich has so much to prove this time. He replaces Igor Dmitriev on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Ural and PFK Sochi are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' PFK Sochi is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' Another substitution for PFK Sochi to replace Martin Kramaric by Miguel Silveira on 65 minute.
  • 70' FK Ural are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against PFK Sochi's shape.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Ibrahima Cisse as he leaves the pitch. Ilya Ishkov steps in for FK Ural.
  • 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Ural needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 82' The PFK Sochi bench stirs into life. Luka Dordevic is withdrawn and Ivan Ignatjev gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Timur Ayupov on 87 minutes.
  • 88' Ivan Ignatjev is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 90' Vyacheslav Litvinov gets the nod from PFK Sochi. He replaces Vanja Drkusic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • With this win, PFK Sochi is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 FK Ural xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: FK Ural or PFK Sochi 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Ural33% Draw28% PFK Sochi39%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Ural or Draw
62%
Draw or PFK Sochi
67%
FK Ural or PFK Sochi
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Ural24% Draw46% PFK Sochi30%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Ural

Handicap FK Ural covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FK Ural keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.