Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul FK Krasnodar H 0–3 L
24 May PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–2 L
17 May FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–1 D
12 May PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 5–2 W
04 May FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–2 L
26 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
24 May FK Dinamo Moskva H 3–0 W
17 May FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
10 May PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–1 L
03 May FK Rubin Kazan H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 3–2 W

Season Stats

FK Nizhny Novgorod FK Krasnodar
#15 Position #2
23 Points 66
30 Played 30
6 / 5 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
26 Scored 60
50 Conceded 23
-24 GD +37
0.77 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 67%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Nizhny Novgorod16% Draw21% FK Krasnodar63%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FK Nizhny Novgorod or Draw
37%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
84%
FK Nizhny Novgorod or FK Krasnodar
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Nizhny Novgorod11% Draw39% FK Krasnodar50%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 1
8.8%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 4
5.1%
1 – 4
4.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 1
3.3%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Nizhny Novgorod

Handicap FK Nizhny Novgorod covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 30% 70%
+1 30% 22% 47%
+1.5 53% 47%
+2 53% 21% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
10%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.