Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 20 Jul 2024 · 17:00 UTC VTB Arena 11,117 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ivan Lepskiy 3' 1–0
Yaroslav Gladyshev 28' 3–0
3–1 74' Evgeniy Markov

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul FK Fakel Voronezh H 3–1 W
25 May FK Krasnodar A 0–1 L
18 May PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 4–1 W
11 May FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 3–2 W
05 May PFK Sochi H 3–2 W
28 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–3 L
25 May RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–0 W
18 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–2 L
12 May FK Ural H 0–0 D
06 May FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–1 D
29 Apr PFK Sochi A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Dinamo Moskva
0-15
2/
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 FK Dinamo Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Dinamo Moskva54% Draw25% FK Fakel Voronezh21%
Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
46%
FK Dinamo Moskva or FK Fakel Voronezh
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Dinamo Moskva37% Draw45% FK Fakel Voronezh18%
Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva

Handicap FK Dinamo Moskva covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
36%
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.