FC Tōkyō vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

FC Tōkyō

3 – 2

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Wed 17 Mar 2021 · 09:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+7'

Y 55' Hirokazu Ishihara

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koji Morikawa
Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
Referee Hiroyoshi Takayama
Referee Hiroki Katsumata
Referee Kota Watanabe

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2021-03-17 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Shonan Bellmare 2020-10-04 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 FC Tōkyō 2020-08-23 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Shonan Bellmare 2019-11-23 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2019-03-02 Shonan Bellmare 2–3 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–2	W
14 Mar	Ōita FC Trinita	A	1–1	D
10 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	2–3	L
06 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	3–2	W
27 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
19 Dec	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	FC Tōkyō	A	2–3	L
13 Mar	Vegalta Sendai	H	3–1	W
10 Mar	Kashima Antlers	A	1–3	L
06 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–2	L
27 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–1	L
19 Dec	Vegalta Sendai	A	0–0	D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

85% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

7/1

46-60

8/1

61-75

10/–

76+

7/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	8 G	3 A
Marcelo Ryan	5 G	2 A
Dani Gomez	5 G
Soma Anzai	5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa	4 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' Yuki Ohashi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
25' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
27' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Naoki Yamada on 27.
32' FC Tokyo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shonan Bellmare backline.
37' Shonan Bellmare come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
38' Brilliant from the ! Kyosuke Tagawa makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 38.
40' Sensational shot from Diego Oliveira. FC Tokyo is back in the lead.
45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
50' Arthur has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 450 appearances.
55' Hirokazu Ishihara picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
56' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Arthur by Shuto Abe on 56 minute.
57' FC Tokyo make a change. Ryoma Watanabe trudges off to be replaced by Adailton on 57 minutes.
62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
67' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Naoki Ishihara.
68' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Kazunari Ono exits the field as Hidetoshi Miyuki enters on 68.
73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
78' It looks surprising FC Tokyo does not make any changes. Takumi Nakamura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
79' The whistle greets Kyosuke Tagawa as he departs to be replaced by Takuya Uchida.
79' Assisted by Naoki Yamada with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryo Takahashi makes no mistake. 2-2!
80' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Takuya Okamoto departs to be replaced by Shota Kobayashi.
81' The deadlock is broken! Tsuyoshi Watanabe gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
83' The crowd applauds Diego Oliveira as he leaves the pitch. Kensuke Nagai steps in for FC Tokyo.
88' The crowd applauds Naoki Yamada as he leaves the pitch. Akimi Barada steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
3-2 the final result. Shonan Bellmare will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

22
Kazuki Oiwa
33
Shuto Machino ↓ Naoki Ishihara 67'
1
Kosei Tani
20
Shintaro Nago
10
Naoki Yamada ↓ Akimi Barada 88'
6
Takuya Okamoto C ↓ Shota Kobayashi 80'
3
Hirokazu Ishihara
42
Ryo Takahashi
8
Kazunari Ono ↓ Hidetoshi Miyuki 68'
17
Yuki Ohashi
32
Satoshi Tanaka ↓ Koki Tachi 80'

Bench

5
Shota Kobayashi ↑ 80'
13
Naoki Ishihara ↑ 67'
23
Daiki Tomii
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 80'
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 88'
29
Hidetoshi Miyuki ↑ 68'
40
Riuler

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	4
Kensuke Nagai	3
Akito Suzuki	2
Shuto Machino	2
Masaki Ikeda	1
Yuto Suzuki	1
Temma Matsuda	1
Hiroyuki Abe	1

Head to Head

FC Tōkyō Form

2021-03-17 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2021-03-14 Ōita FC Trinita 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2021-03-10 FC Tōkyō 2–3 Vissel Kobe L 2021-03-06 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2021-02-27 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2020-12-19 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Vissel Kobe W

Shonan Bellmare Form

2021-03-17 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-03-13 Shonan Bellmare 3–1 Vegalta Sendai W 2021-03-10 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-03-06 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-12-19 Vegalta Sendai 0–0 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.84 FC Tōkyō xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō55% Draw23% Shonan Bellmare22%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw

78%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

45%

FC Tōkyō or Shonan Bellmare

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tōkyō37% Draw43% Shonan Bellmare20%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

6.3%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap	FC Tōkyō covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.