FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 6 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
4 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 24.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Hertha BSC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | FC Schalke 04 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 Feb | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | FC Schalke 04 | A | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Mar | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
| Taichi Hara | 2 G | 1 A |
| Martijn Kaars | 2 G | |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 2 G | |
| Marcus Mathisen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Paderborn 07 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aaron Zehnter is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' Connor Metcalfe was booked on 30.
- 32' Marcel Hartel is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 37' Calvin Brackelmann, a Germany defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 42' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact .
- 47' Lars Ritzka is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 52' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Adriano Grimaldi makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
- 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
- 66' Controversy at the stadium! Adriano Grimaldi argues furiously but the card stands.
- 71' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Fabian Hurzeler gets a card.
- 72' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eric Smith on 72.
- 77' Philippines international Raphael Obermair has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 81' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Raphael Obermair is withdrawn and Ilyas Ansah gets his opportunity.
- 82' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Sebastian Klaas has done his job and it is now time for Koen Kostons to step up.
- 83' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Connor Metcalfe departs to be replaced by Etienne Amenyido.
- 87' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Johannes Eggestein by Andreas Albers on 87 minute.
- 90' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Aljoscha Kemlein is replaced by Tjark Scheller.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Paderborn 07.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Adam Dzwigala 83'
- 10
- 24
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 36
Bench
- 30
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 83'
- 15
- 9
-
14
Etienne Amenyido ↑ 83'
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 87'
- 4
-
32
Tjark Scheller ↑ 90'
- 35
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 39
- 16
-
23
Raphael Obermair ↓ Ilyas Ansah 81'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↓ Koen Kostons 82'
- 7
- 11
- 33
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↓ Jannis Heuer 82'
- 22
Bench
- 21
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 82'
-
24
Jannis Heuer ↑ 82'
-
4
Calvin Brackelmann ↑ 82'
- 33
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 81'
- 37
-
10
Koen Kostons ↑ 82'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Johannes Eggestein | 1 |
| Jackson Irvine | 1 |
| Florent Muslija | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
| Marcel Hartel | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-03-31
FC St. Pauli 1910
2–1
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-03-16
1. FC Nürnberg
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-03-10
FC St. Pauli 1910
2–0
Hertha BSC
W
2024-03-01
FC Schalke 04
3–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-02-23
Holstein Kiel
3–4
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-02-18
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-03-31
FC St. Pauli 1910
2–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
2024-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
Eintracht Braunschweig
L
2024-03-09
FC Schalke 04
3–3
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-03-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
1. FC Magdeburg
D
2024-02-23
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-02-17
SC Paderborn 07
0–4
Holstein Kiel
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
76%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
48%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or SC Paderborn 07
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.