FC Tokyo vs FC Mito Holly Hock, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs FC Mito Holly Hock — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FC Mito Holly Hock 18 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Atsushi Kamimura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FC Mito Holly Hock | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Mar | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | FC Mito Holly Hock | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #19 |
| 37 | Points | 18 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 12 |
| 55 | Scored | 35 |
| 42 | Conceded | 50 |
| +13 | GD | -15 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 72% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tōkyō launch into their encounter with FC Mito Holly Hock.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Mito Holly Hock needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Japan international Kenta Itakura has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 17' What a strike from Danilo Cardoso! The score is 0-1.
- 22' A quiet spell here at Ajinomoto Stadium. FC Tōkyō seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' A stunning finish from Marcelo Ryan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 40' The referee calls foul for Takumi Mase. He receives a card.
- 43' A stunning finish from Kein Sato — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 45' FC Mito Holly Hock player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' The FC Mito Holly Hock bench stirs into life. Mizuki Arai is withdrawn and Hayata Yamamoto gets his opportunity.
- 50' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan fires home to make it 0-4!
- 55' Ryo Nemoto gets the nod from FC Mito Holly Hock. He replaces Arata Watanabe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 56' Fresh legs for FC Mito Holly Hock! Sho Omori comes on to replace Takumi Mase.
- 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' FC Tōkyō are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 68' GOAL! Sei Muroya fires home to make it 0-5!
- 69' Another change for FC Mito Holly Hock made on 69 minute. Matheus Leiria Dos Santos leaves to be changed by Koki Ando.
- 70' Magnificent from Koki Ando! That is 2 goals in 18 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 70' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Alexander Scholz by Rio Omori on 70 minute.
- 74' Assisted by Marcelo Ryan with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryunosuke Sato makes no mistake. 0-7!
- 76' The FC Mito Holly Hock manager makes a substitution. Taishi Semba departs to be replaced by Yuto Yamashita.
- 81' FC Tōkyō has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 83' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fuki Yamada is hanging Kein Sato on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Masato Morishige. He replaces Hayato Inamura on 88 minute.
- FC Mito Holly Hock will have plenty to reflect on. FC Tōkyō were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 18
- 22
- 24
- 9
- 81
- 42
- 23
- 17
- 16
- 27
Bench
- 3
- 10
- 39
- 8
- 15
- 28
- 71
- 55
- 1
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
14
Mizuki Arai ↓ Hayata Yamamoto 46'
-
10
Arata Watanabe ↓ Ryo Nemoto 55'
- 34
-
19
Taishi Semba ↓ Yuto Yamashita 76'
- 17
- 3
-
25
Takumi Mase ↓ Sho Omori 56'
- 70
- 29
- 2
Bench
- 21
-
9
Ryo Nemoto ↑ 55'
-
33
Koki Ando ↑ 69'
- 4
-
7
Sho Omori ↑ 56'
-
48
Yuto Yamashita ↑ 76'
- 44
- 24
-
39
Hayata Yamamoto ↑ 46'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Sei Muroya | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Kein Sato | 1 |
| Koki Ando | 1 |
| Danilo Cardoso | 1 |
FC Tokyo Form
FC Mito Holly Hock Form
2026-04-24
FC Tokyo
5–2
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-04-19
FC Mito Holly Hock
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2026-04-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–1
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-04-04
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–3
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-03-22
Kashiwa Reysol
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-03-18
FC Mito Holly Hock
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.77
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
FC Mito Holly Hock xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Mito Holly Hock
32%
FC Tokyo or FC Mito Holly Hock
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 2
5%
5 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
5 – 2
Actual
4 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | FC Mito Holly Hock covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -2 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 17% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 7% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

