FC Tokyo vs FC Mito Holly Hock, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs FC Mito Holly Hock — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FC Mito Holly Hock 18 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Atsushi Kamimura
6 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FC Mito Holly Hock | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Mar | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | FC Mito Holly Hock | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #19 |
| 37 | Points | 18 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 12 |
| 55 | Scored | 35 |
| 42 | Conceded | 50 |
| +13 | GD | -15 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 72% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/6
61-75
1/5
76+
1/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
FC Mito Holly Hock
| Arata Watanabe | 5 G |
| Yasuki Kimoto | 2 G |
| Chihiro Kato | 2 G |
| Kotaro Uchino | 1 G |
| Yoshiki Torikai | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium!
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The travelling FC Mito Holly Hock supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daisuke Kimori will be considering his options from the bench.
- 17' What a moment for Danilo Cardoso! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
- 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
- 32' Keisuke Tada has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' A stunning finish from Marcelo Ryan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takumi Mase on 40.
- 43' Kein Sato adds to his 1 season tally! FC Tokyo lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 45' Danilo Cardoso was booked on 45.
- 46' Hayata Yamamoto gets the nod from FC Mito Holly Hock. He replaces Mizuki Arai and will look to change the dynamic.
- 50' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 31 goal in 339 matches.
- 55' FC Mito Holly Hock make a change. Arata Watanabe trudges off to be replaced by Ryo Nemoto on 55 minutes.
- 56' Sho Omori is replacing Takumi Mase for the FC Mito Holly Hock side.
- 61' Kento Hashimoto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Mito Holly Hock tonight.
- 66' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past FC Mito Holly Hock's compact .
- 68' Magnificent from Sei Muroya! That is 7 goals in 447 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 69' Matheus Leiria Dos Santos makes way for Koki Ando at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Mito Holly Hock.
- 70' What a moment for Koki Ando! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Rio Omori. He replaces Alexander Scholz on 70 minute.
- 74' The Japan forward Ryunosuke Sato breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 5-2!
- 76' A change in the FC Mito Holly Hock ranks — Taishi Semba exits the field as Yuto Yamashita enters on 76.
- 81' Brazil international Matheus Leiria Dos Santos has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 83' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 83 minute. Kein Sato leaves to be changed by Fuki Yamada.
- 88' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Hayato Inamura has done his job and it is now time for Masato Morishige to step up.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 18
- 22
- 24
- 9
- 81
- 42
- 23
- 17
- 16
- 27
Bench
- 3
- 10
- 39
- 8
- 15
- 28
- 71
- 55
- 1
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
14
Mizuki Arai ↓ Hayata Yamamoto 46'
-
10
Arata Watanabe ↓ Ryo Nemoto 55'
- 34
-
19
Taishi Semba ↓ Yuto Yamashita 76'
- 17
- 3
-
25
Takumi Mase ↓ Sho Omori 56'
- 70
- 29
- 2
Bench
- 21
-
9
Ryo Nemoto ↑ 55'
-
33
Koki Ando ↑ 69'
- 4
-
7
Sho Omori ↑ 56'
-
48
Yuto Yamashita ↑ 76'
- 44
- 24
-
39
Hayata Yamamoto ↑ 46'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 2 |
| Sei Muroya | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Kein Sato | 1 |
| Koki Ando | 1 |
| Danilo Cardoso | 1 |
| Alexander Scholz | 1 |
FC Tokyo Form
FC Mito Holly Hock Form
2026-04-24
FC Tokyo
5–2
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-04-19
FC Mito Holly Hock
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2026-04-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–1
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-04-04
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–3
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-03-22
Kashiwa Reysol
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-03-18
FC Mito Holly Hock
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.77
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
FC Mito Holly Hock xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Mito Holly Hock
32%
FC Tokyo or FC Mito Holly Hock
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 2
5%
5 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
5 – 2
Actual
4 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | FC Mito Holly Hock covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -2 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 17% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 7% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

