Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Lorient vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan FC Metz H 1–1 D
14 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–0 D
07 Dec Olympique Lyonnais H 1–0 W
30 Nov OGC Nice H 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Nantes A 1–1 D
09 Nov Toulouse FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan FC Lorient A 1–1 D
13 Dec Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec AJ Auxerre A 1–3 L
28 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–1 L
23 Nov Stade Brestois 29 A 2–3 L
09 Nov OGC Nice H 2–1 W

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Metz kicks off things out of here…
  • The points are shared — FC Lorient 1-1 FC Metz. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient47% Draw27% FC Metz26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Metz
53%
FC Lorient or FC Metz
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient31% Draw48% FC Metz21%
Actual: FC Metz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.