Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Lorient vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan FC Metz H 1–1 D
14 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–0 D
07 Dec Olympique Lyonnais H 1–0 W
30 Nov OGC Nice H 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Nantes A 1–1 D
09 Nov Toulouse FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan FC Lorient A 1–1 D
13 Dec Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec AJ Auxerre A 1–3 L
28 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–1 L
23 Nov Stade Brestois 29 A 2–3 L
09 Nov OGC Nice H 2–1 W

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Lorient to score. At the same time, FC Metz does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient47% Draw27% FC Metz26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Metz
53%
FC Lorient or FC Metz
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient31% Draw48% FC Metz21%
Actual: FC Metz win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.