Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AJ Auxerre vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AJ Auxerre vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FC Metz H 3–1 W
29 Nov Paris FC A 1–1 D
23 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 0–0 D
09 Nov Angers SCO A 0–2 L
01 Nov Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
29 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec AJ Auxerre A 1–3 L
28 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–1 L
23 Nov Stade Brestois 29 A 2–3 L
09 Nov OGC Nice H 2–1 W
02 Nov FC Nantes A 2–0 W
29 Oct Racing Club de Lens H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
AJ Auxerre this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AJ Auxerre
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AJ Auxerre Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 AJ Auxerre xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre48% Draw27% FC Metz25%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AJ Auxerre or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Metz
52%
AJ Auxerre or FC Metz
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AJ Auxerre32% Draw48% FC Metz20%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — AJ Auxerre

Handicap AJ Auxerre covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.