Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Lorient vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
Fri 6 Dec 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stade du Moustoir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 2 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Karim Abed
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec ES Troyes AC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Bastia A 0–0 D
09 Nov En Avant Guingamp H 3–1 W
01 Nov Clermont Foot 63 A 1–2 L
29 Oct USL Dunkerque H 4–2 W
25 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec FC Lorient A 0–2 L
22 Nov Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–0 D
08 Nov Red Star FC A 3–0 W
01 Nov Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–0 D
29 Oct Pau FC H 3–0 W
26 Oct SM Caen A 1–0 W

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade du Moustoir will turn into a battlefield for FC Lorient and ES Troyes AC.
  • 5' FC Lorient currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with ES Troyes AC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. ES Troyes AC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pablo Pagis, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Moustoir with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 29' Joel Mvuka puts FC Lorient on the lead.
  • 34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Lorient and ES Troyes AC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 59' It looks surprising ES Troyes AC does not make any changes. Rafiki Said Ahamada has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 63' FC Lorient ring the changes. Joel Mvuka has done his job and it is now time for Panos Katseris to step up.
  • 64' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Martin Adeline has done his job and it is now time for Mouhamed Diop to step up.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ES Troyes AC that had 450 games and scored 364 goals.
  • 71' Pablo Pagis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 72' Eli Kroupi gets the nod from FC Lorient. He replaces Pablo Pagis and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Cyriaque Irie has done his job and it is now time for Jaures Assoumou to step up.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Xavier Chavalerin. He replaces Abdoulaye Kante on 78 minute.
  • 79' ES Troyes AC make a change. Rafiki Said Ahamada trudges off to be replaced by Kyliane Dong on 79 minutes.
  • 84' It is a substitution in FC Lorient team. Igor Silva is replaced by Gedeon Kalulu on 84 minute.
  • 89' FC Lorient is showing some good football. However, FC Lorient are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Lorient and ES Troyes AC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient49% Draw27% ES Troyes AC24%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
76%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
51%
FC Lorient or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient33% Draw48% ES Troyes AC19%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.