FC Erzgebirge Aue vs VfB Stuttgart, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

FC Erzgebirge Aue

1 – 0

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sun 11 Feb 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.50

Draw 3.39

VfB Stuttgart 2.79

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 7 games · Avg 2.3 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart 2017-09-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-10-25 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-03-02 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-09-26 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	1–1	D
27 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–2	L
20 Jan	SV Linx 1949	A	2–3	L
13 Jan	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	1–0	W
19 Dec	SV Linx 1949	A	1–3	L

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–1	L
03 Feb	TuS Erndtebruck	H	0–1	L
26 Jan	FC Hansa Rostock	A	0–2	L
20 Jan	MSV Duisburg	H	2–0	W
14 Jan	Karlsruher SC	A	1–2	L
20 Dec	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Erzgebirge Aue to score. At the same time, VfB Stuttgart does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The points are shared — FC Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 VfB Stuttgart. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2018-02-03 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-01-20 SV Linx 1949 3–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-01-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 W 2017-12-19 SV Linx 1949 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L

VfB Stuttgart Form

2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-02-03 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 TuS Erndtebruck L 2018-01-26 FC Hansa Rostock 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-01-20 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 MSV Duisburg W 2018-01-14 Karlsruher SC 2–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2017-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 SV Drochtersen/Assel L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.09 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or VfB Stuttgart 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue38% Draw30% VfB Stuttgart32%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

68%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

62%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or VfB Stuttgart

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Erzgebirge Aue24% Draw52% VfB Stuttgart24%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.4%

0 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

11.1%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

1 – 3

2.7%

3 – 1

2.6%

0 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	20%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	20%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	10%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.