Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs MSV Duisburg, 2014

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1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0 – 1

Full Time

MSV Duisburg

Wed 4 Feb 2015 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts
MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.44

Draw 4.50

MSV Duisburg 7.50

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 games · Avg 3.1 goals MSV Duisburg

Last 5 meetings

2015-02-04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 MSV Duisburg 2014-08-29 MSV Duisburg 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	MSV Duisburg	H	0–1	L
31 Jan	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D
20 Dec	Wroxham FC	A	1–2	L
17 Dec	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	2–2	D
13 Dec	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	0–1	L
05 Dec	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	1–0	W

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–0	W
01 Feb	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	3–1	W
20 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–1	W
16 Dec	1. FC Nurnberg	A	0–2	L
13 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–4	L
06 Dec	Karlsruher SC	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and MSV Duisburg.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen will have plenty to reflect on. MSV Duisburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 MSV Duisburg xG

I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or MSV Duisburg 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen36% Draw31% MSV Duisburg33%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.36

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

66%

Draw or MSV Duisburg

64%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or MSV Duisburg

69%

Half-Time Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen26% Draw50% MSV Duisburg24%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

11.6%

1 – 0

10.3%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.1%

1 – 3

2.8%

3 – 0

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	20%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	19%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.