Sunday , 16 August 2026

Exeter City FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC St. James Park 6,312 HT 45' · FT 45'
Caleb Watts 68' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Cheltenham Town FC H 1–0 W
09 Sep Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
02 Sep Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
26 Aug Reading FC H 2–1 W
19 Aug Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
15 Aug Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
02 Sep Barnsley FC H 0–2 L
26 Aug Northampton Town FC H 0–1 L
19 Aug Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Aug Reading FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC44% Draw30% Cheltenham Town FC26%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
56%
Exeter City FC or Cheltenham Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC25% Draw54% Cheltenham Town FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.