Ecuador vs Peru, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ecuador vs Peru — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Ecuador gets underway.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Ecuador in their trying to find a way past Peru's compact .
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ecuador and Peru are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' The 32-year-old Wilder Cartagena has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 23' Magnificent from Renato Tapia! That is 4 goals in 330 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 28' Sergio Pena, a Peru , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 33' Ecuador have won 14 goals from 15 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ecuador and Peru are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' A quiet spell here at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Peru seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 48' GOAL! Ayrton Preciado scores on 45. Assisted by Damian Diaz
- 49' Gianluca Lapadula makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Peru are in front.
- 54' GOAL! Andre Carrillo fires home to make it 2-2!
- 57' Ecuador receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
- 62' Miguel Araujo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' Ecuador ring the changes. Leonardo Campana has done his job and it is now time for Michael Estrada to step up.
- 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' Santiago Ormeno is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gianluca Lapadula at the 78 minute mark.
- 81' Ecuador ring the changes. Jhegson Mendez has done his job and it is now time for Christian Noboa to step up.
- 82' The whistle greets Alan Franco as he departs to be replaced by Jordy Caicedo.
- 86' The crowd applauds Christian Cueva as he leaves the pitch. Miguel Araujo steps in for Peru.
- 88' Peru player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Fidel Martinez is replacing Ayrton Preciado for the Ecuador side.
- It finishes all square. Ecuador and Peru share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 20
- 18
- 17
- 9
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Jordy Caicedo 82'
- 3
- 23
- 1
-
10
Damian Diaz ↓ Angel Mena 64'
Bench
-
6
Christian Noboa ↑ 81'
- 22
- 14
- 12
-
15
Angel Mena ↑ 64'
-
26
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 82'
- 16
- 2
-
11
Michael Estrada ↑ 64'
-
8
Fidel Martinez ↑ 90'
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 9
-
8
Sergio Pena ↓ Wilder Cartagena 78'
-
10
Christian Cueva ↓ Miguel Araujo 86'
-
19
Yoshimar Yotun ↓ Luis Iberico 90'
- 15
- 18
- 1
- 22
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 2
-
5
Miguel Araujo ↑ 86'
- 4
-
14
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 78'
- 16
- 12
- 24
-
17
Luis Iberico ↑ 90'
- 11
- 26
-
20
Santiago Ormeno ↑ 78'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Tapia | 1 |
| Ayrton Preciado | 1 |
| Gianluca Lapadula | 1 |
| Andre Carrillo | 1 |
Head to Head
Ecuador Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Peru xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Peru 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
67%
Draw or Peru
61%
Ecuador or Peru
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ecuador win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Peru covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Peru keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.