Ecuador vs Peru, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ecuador vs Peru — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Ecuador and Peru get this one started.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Angelo Preciado, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Atanasio Girardot with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ecuador and Peru are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Peru seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 23' Goal! Renato Tapia scores his 4 goal in 322 matches.
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' Ecuador is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ecuador and Peru are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 48' Ayrton Preciado does the damage! The net is bulging and Ecuador surge ahead!
- 49' A goal from the Peru international Gianluca Lapadula! He fires home on 49 to make it 2-1!
- 54' What composure from Andre Carrillo! The Peru international strokes it home. 2-2.
- 57' Piero Hincapie is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 62' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' It is a substitution in Ecuador team. Leonardo Campana is replaced by Michael Estrada on 64 minute.
- 69' international Damian Diaz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 78' The whistle greets Gianluca Lapadula as he departs to be replaced by Santiago Ormeno.
- 81' A tactical swap from Ecuador — Christian Noboa on, Jhegson Mendez off on 81 minutes.
- 82' Ecuador ring the changes. Alan Franco has done his job and it is now time for Jordy Caicedo to step up.
- 86' A change in the Peru ranks — Christian Cueva exits the field as Miguel Araujo enters on 86.
- 88' Christian Ramos was booked on 88.
- 90' A change in the Ecuador ranks — Ayrton Preciado exits the field as Fidel Martinez enters on 90.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 20
- 18
- 17
- 9
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Jordy Caicedo 82'
- 3
- 23
- 1
-
10
Damian Diaz ↓ Angel Mena 64'
Bench
-
6
Christian Noboa ↑ 81'
- 22
- 14
- 12
-
15
Angel Mena ↑ 64'
-
26
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 82'
- 16
- 2
-
11
Michael Estrada ↑ 64'
-
8
Fidel Martinez ↑ 90'
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 9
-
8
Sergio Pena ↓ Wilder Cartagena 78'
-
10
Christian Cueva ↓ Miguel Araujo 86'
-
19
Yoshimar Yotun ↓ Luis Iberico 90'
- 15
- 18
- 1
- 22
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 2
-
5
Miguel Araujo ↑ 86'
- 4
-
14
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 78'
- 16
- 12
- 24
-
17
Luis Iberico ↑ 90'
- 11
- 26
-
20
Santiago Ormeno ↑ 78'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianluca Lapadula | 1 |
| Andre Carrillo | 1 |
| Renato Tapia | 1 |
| Ayrton Preciado | 1 |
Head to Head
Ecuador Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Peru xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Peru 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
67%
Draw or Peru
61%
Ecuador or Peru
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ecuador win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Peru covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Peru keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.