Sunday , 15 November 2026

Ecuador vs Germany, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE

FIFA World Cup · 2026
2 – 1
Full Time
Thu 25 Jun 2026 · 20:00 UTC MetLife Stadium 80,663 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Leroy Sane
Nilson Angulo 9' 1–1
Gonzalo Plata 78' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Ecuador vs Germany — Worldcup at MetLife Stadium.

  • Ecuador 3 games · 4 pts (2026/26)
  • Germany 3 games · 6 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Tori Penso (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Brooke Mayo (USA)
  • Assistant 2 Kathryn Nesbitt (USA)
24 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
Ecuador 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Germany

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Germany H 2–1 W
21 Jun Curacao H 0–0 D
14 Jun Ivory Coast A 0–1 L
29 Nov Senegal H 1–2 L
25 Nov Netherlands A 1–1 D
20 Nov Qatar A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Ecuador A 1–2 L
20 Jun Ivory Coast H 2–1 W
14 Jun Curacao H 7–1 W
05 Jul Spain A 1–2 L
29 Jun Denmark H 2–0 W
23 Jun Switzerland A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Ecuador Germany
#19 Position #17
4 Points 6
3 Played 3
1 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 10
2 Conceded 4
+0 GD +6
1.33 PPG 2.00
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Ecuador this season
0% Clean Sheets
Germany this season

Ecuador are 19th (4 pts). Germany are 17th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Ecuador
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Germany
Deniz Undav 3 G 2 A
Kai Havertz 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Ecuador host Germany — let the battle begin!
  • 2' A goal from the Germany international Leroy Sane! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-1!
  • 7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Julian Nagelsmann might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 9' GOAL! Nilson Angulo scores on 9.
  • 14' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ecuador and Germany are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 19' Germany is showing some good football. However, Germany are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 24' With 6 assists to his name this season, Florian Wirtz is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Germany.
  • 29' Germany fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Germany is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' Ecuador looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Nilson Angulo scoring 1 goals.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Piero Hincapie on 43 minutes.
  • 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aleksandar Pavlovic.
  • 46' Angelo Stiller is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandar Pavlovic at the 46 minute mark.
  • 50' Controversy at the stadium! Alan Franco argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 55' Aleksandar Pavlovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ecuador so far.
  • 60' Malick Thiaw is replacing Joshua Kimmich for the Germany side.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Ecuador team. Alan Franco is replaced by Angelo Preciado on 64 minute.
  • 69' Jamal Musiala has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Pervis Estupinan. He replaces Piero Hincapie on 71 minute.
  • 73' The whistle greets Florian Wirtz as he departs to be replaced by Pascal Gross.
  • 78' Magnificent from Gonzalo Plata! That is 15 goals in 518 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jonathan Tah made 166 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Nilson Angulo as he leaves the pitch. Jordy Caicedo steps in for Ecuador.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gonzalo Plata.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Germany xG
I would bet for: Ecuador or Germany 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ecuador39% Draw29% Germany32%
Actual: Ecuador win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ecuador or Draw
68%
Draw or Germany
61%
Ecuador or Germany
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ecuador25% Draw50% Germany25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ecuador

Handicap Ecuador covers Push Germany covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Ecuador keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Germany keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.