Ecuador vs Germany, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Tori Penso (USA)
- Assistant 1 Brooke Mayo (USA)
- Assistant 2 Kathryn Nesbitt (USA)
18 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 7.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Canada | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Qatar | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Brazil | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Morocco | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Scotland | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Haiti | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | United States | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Australia | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Paraguay | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Turkey | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 6 |
| 19 | Ecuador | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Curaçao | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Netherlands | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Japan | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Sweden | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Belgium | 3 | 5 |
| 26 | Egypt | 3 | 5 |
| 27 | Iran | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | New Zealand | 3 | 1 |
| 29 | Spain | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 3 |
| 31 | Uruguay | 3 | 2 |
| 32 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 |
| 33 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 34 | Norway | 3 | 6 |
| 35 | Senegal | 3 | 3 |
| 36 | Iraq | 3 | 0 |
| 37 | Argentina | 3 | 9 |
| 38 | Austria | 3 | 4 |
| 39 | Algeria | 3 | 4 |
| 40 | Jordan | 3 | 0 |
| 41 | Colombia | 3 | 7 |
| 42 | Portugal | 3 | 5 |
| 43 | Congo DR | 3 | 4 |
| 44 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 |
| 45 | England | 3 | 7 |
| 46 | Croatia | 3 | 6 |
| 47 | Ghana | 3 | 4 |
| 48 | Panama | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Season Stats
| Ecuador | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #17 |
| 4 | Points | 6 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 1 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 1 |
| 2 | Scored | 10 |
| 2 | Conceded | 4 |
| +0 | GD | +6 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Ecuador this season
Ecuador this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
Ecuador are 19th (4 pts). Germany are 17th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Ecuador
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Germany
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Germany
| Deniz Undav | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kai Havertz | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at MetLife Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Ecuador and Germany.
- 2' A goal from the Germany international Leroy Sane! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-1!
- 7' The travelling Germany supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 9' Goal! Nilson Angulo scores his 4 goal in 390 matches.
- 14' Ecuador has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 19' Pascal Gross is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Germany so far.
- 24' Antonio Rudiger is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ecuador tonight.
- 29' Ecuador currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 34' Ecuador are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Germany's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 39' Germany is showing some good football. However, Germany are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 43' It’s gonna be a card for Piero Hincapie.
- 44' Aleksandar Pavlovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Angelo Stiller. He replaces Aleksandar Pavlovic on 46 minute.
- 50' The referee shows Ecuador player a card on 50.
- 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 60' Germany ring the changes. Joshua Kimmich has done his job and it is now time for Malick Thiaw to step up.
- 64' Ecuador manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Angelo Preciado is hanging Alan Franco on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 71' Another substitution for Ecuador to replace Piero Hincapie by Pervis Estupinan on 71 minute.
- 73' A tactical swap from Germany — Pascal Gross on, Florian Wirtz off on 73 minutes.
- 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gonzalo Plata makes it 2-1.
- 83' Moises Caicedo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 336 appearances.
- 85' Jordy Caicedo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nilson Angulo on 85 minute.
- 89' Gonzalo Plata is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
John Yeboah ↓ Felix Torres 85'
- 13
- 19
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Angelo Preciado 64'
- 3
- 23
- 1
- 15
- 6
-
20
Nilson Angulo ↓ Jordy Caicedo 85'
- 4
Bench
-
7
Pervis Estupinan ↑ 71'
- 25
-
17
Angelo Preciado ↑ 64'
-
16
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 85'
-
2
Felix Torres ↑ 85'
- 5
- 8
- 12
-
11
Kevin Rodriguez ↑ 64'
- 26
- 10
- 14
- 24
- 18
- 22
Coach
Sebastián Beccacece
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 19
- 1
-
6
Joshua Kimmich ↓ Malick Thiaw 60'
- 4
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Deniz Undav 60'
- 22
- 23
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↓ Pascal Gross 73'
- 10
- 5
Bench
-
13
Pascal Gross ↑ 73'
- 8
- 3
- 12
- 20
- 21
- 9
- 11
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 64'
-
24
Malick Thiaw ↑ 60'
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 60'
-
16
Angelo Stiller ↑ 46'
- 25
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Germany xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Germany 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ecuador win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
68%
Draw or Germany
61%
Ecuador or Germany
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Germany covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Germany keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.