Thursday , 2 July 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Fri 17 Oct 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SC BastiaLigue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Geoffrey Kubler

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct SC Bastia H 1–0 W
03 Oct Le Mans FC A 2–2 D
26 Sep FC Annecy H 3–1 W
23 Sep Red Star FC A 3–1 W
20 Sep En Avant Guingamp H 5–2 W
12 Sep AS Nancy-Lorraine H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct ES Troyes AC A 0–1 L
03 Oct USL Dunkerque H 0–0 D
26 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–0 D
23 Sep Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–3 L
20 Sep Montpellier HSC A 0–2 L
16 Sep US Boulogne Cote d'Opale A 0–1 L

Season Stats

ES Troyes AC SC Bastia
#1 Position #3
67 Points 28
34 Played 34
20 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 13 / 16
60 Scored 23
33 Conceded 42
+27 GD -19
1.97 PPG 0.82
59% Win % 15%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ES Troyes AC are 1st (67 pts). SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. ES Troyes AC is hosting SC Bastia for another epic battle.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.99 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: ES Troyes AC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC70% Draw20% SC Bastia10%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
90%
Draw or SC Bastia
30%
ES Troyes AC or SC Bastia
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC49% Draw44% SC Bastia7%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
15.8%
3 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
5.5%
4 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
2.8%
5 – 0
2.1%
2 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 22% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 26% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
60%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.