Sunday , 16 August 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Fri 17 Oct 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct SC Bastia H 1–0 W
03 Oct Le Mans FC A 2–2 D
26 Sep FC Annecy H 3–1 W
23 Sep Red Star FC A 3–1 W
20 Sep En Avant Guingamp H 5–2 W
12 Sep AS Nancy-Lorraine H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct ES Troyes AC A 0–1 L
03 Oct USL Dunkerque H 0–0 D
26 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–0 D
23 Sep Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–3 L
20 Sep Montpellier HSC A 0–2 L
16 Sep US Boulogne Côte d'Opale A 0–1 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. ES Troyes AC get us underway at .
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from ES Troyes AC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC57% Draw26% SC Bastia17%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
83%
Draw or SC Bastia
43%
ES Troyes AC or SC Bastia
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC36% Draw50% SC Bastia14%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
12.6%
2 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
47%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.