Thursday , 2 July 2026

Chapecoense AF vs Sao Paulo FC, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
Sun 16 Jul 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chapecoense AF vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Head-to-Head

2
3
4
Chapecoense AF 9 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
14 Jul SC Recife A 0–3 L
09 Jul CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
04 Jul Fluminense FC A 3–3 D
26 Jun CA Mineiro H 0–1 L
23 Jun CR Flamengo A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Chapecoense AF A 0–2 L
08 Jul Santos FC A 2–3 L
01 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
25 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
18 Jun CA Mineiro H 1–2 L
16 Jun SC Recife A 0–0 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chapecoense AF Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF56% Draw27% Sao Paulo FC17%
Actual: Chapecoense AF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Chapecoense AF or Draw
83%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
44%
Chapecoense AF or Sao Paulo FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF38% Draw50% Sao Paulo FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF

Handicap Chapecoense AF covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 26% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
50%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.