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Santos FC vs EC Bahia, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
3 0
Full Time
Sat 22 Jul 2017 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A .

Head-to-Head

1
2
Santos FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals EC Bahia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul EC Bahia H 3–0 W
19 Jul Chapecoense AF H 1–0 W
16 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
13 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–0 W
08 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 3–2 W
25 Jun SC Recife H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul Santos FC A 0–3 L
20 Jul CA Mineiro A 2–0 W
09 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
01 Jul EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
26 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
23 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Santos FC Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Santos FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC61% Draw24% EC Bahia15%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
85%
Draw or EC Bahia
39%
Santos FC or EC Bahia
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Santos FC43% Draw46% EC Bahia11%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
2 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 25% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
50%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.