Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Bahia vs Santos FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

2 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 21:30 UTC Estadio Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Erick 20' Y
Y 53' Diogenes
Y 72' Miguelito
Y 82' Mayke

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Santos FCSerie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.

Match Details

  • Referee Ramon Abatti Abel
15 games this season 🟨 2.2/game 7.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D
19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W
22 Mar Clube do Remo A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr EC Bahia A 2–2 D
19 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–3 L
11 Apr CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
05 Apr CR Flamengo A 1–3 L
02 Apr Clube do Remo H 2–0 W
22 Mar Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

EC Bahia Santos FC
#5 Position #17
33 Points 22
22 Played 21
8 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 7 / 9
29 Scored 29
25 Conceded 35
+4 GD -6
1.50 PPG 1.05
36% Win % 24%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
24% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Santos FC are 17th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/4
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 6 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 4 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Bahia and Santos FC has kicked off!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Estadio Fonte Nova. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Santos FC that had 285 games and scored 353 goals.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The referee has no hesitation. Erick is booked for EC Bahia — card on 20.
  • 22' What composure from Benjamin Rollheiser! The Argentina international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 27' Michel Araujo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Everton Ribeiro comes on to replace Michel Araujo.
  • 49' Benjamin Rollheiser doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 53' A moment of madness from Diogenes on 53 minutes earns him a card. Santos FC will be frustrated.
  • 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 59' That is a card for EC Bahia. Santiago Ramos will be fuming at that decision.
  • 64' Willian Jose has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 65' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Thaciano exits the field as Lautaro Diaz enters on 65.
  • 70' The energy levels are beginning to show. Cuca might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 72' Controversy at the stadium! Miguelito argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Caio Alexandre departs to be replaced by Erick.
  • 73' The whistle greets Cristian Olivera as he departs to be replaced by Everaldo.
  • 76' Luciano Juba doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 80' Moises is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rony at the 80 minute mark.
  • 82' Santos FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' The deadlock is broken! Willian Jose gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Santos FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Gonzalo Escobar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 89' Joao Schmidt makes way for Luan Peres at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Santos FC.
  • 90' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Everton Ribeiro gets a card.
  • 90' Another change for EC Bahia made on 90 minute. Erick leaves to be changed by Ademir Santos.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia46% Draw25% Santos FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
72%
Draw or Santos FC
54%
EC Bahia or Santos FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia35% Draw42% Santos FC23%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.